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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Mon 26 Oct 2026, 9:40 AM ET
Alex de Minaur
VS
Tomas Machac

Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 9 markets for Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac and backs Alex de Minaur -4 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $233.

8
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Alex de Minaur
to win by more than 4 games
Alex de Minaur -4 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$23.30Best price+133
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.9%
The price says41.2%

The model graded 9 markets for Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $233 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 26 Oct 2026, 9:40 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Alex de Minaur -4 Lean43% chance +133
Total Games Members only High66% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean53% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Alex de Minaur and Tomas Machac last met on Mon 26 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Alex de Minaur
-4
+133
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Alex de Minaur

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Tomas Machac

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesTomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
66%model under %
1.82fair price
PickUnder 23Model66.4%Fair1.82Odds-133

Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23 at -133, fair price 1.82; our model makes it 66.4% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapTomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
59%model cover %
2.06fair price
PickAlex de Minaur -3.5Model59.2%Fair2.06Odds-101

Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur -3.5 at -101, fair price 2.06; our model makes it 59.2% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alex de Minaur @ Tomas Machac — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for Alex de Minaur at Tomas Machac — 8 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Alex de Minaur @ Tomas Machac — model preview

Tomas Machac v Alex de Minaur, 27 October 2026. Top of the list: Alex de Minaur to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On October 26, 2026 our model has run Alex de Minaur at Tomas Machac and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Alex de Minaur to win the match (-233), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Minaur vs Machac, or as Machac vs Minaur. The most recent game between them was Monday 26 October 2026. The model has generated 8 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Alex de Minaur vs Tomas Machac: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 26 Oct 2026Alex de Minaur beat Tomas Machac 1-6 6-4 6-3 at Vienna Open
  • 9 Apr 2025Alex de Minaur beat Tomas Machac 3-6 6-0 6-3 at Monte Carlo Masters

Alex de Minaur: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6 6-3BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 1 Nov 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 6-4Vienna Open · Final · Hard
  3. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Alexander Zverev 6-4 1-6 7-6Vienna Open · Semifinals · Hard
  4. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-2Vienna Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  5. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Learner Tien 6-4 6-2Vienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Tomas Machac: last 5 matches

  1. 9 Nov 2026Lostvs B. Gojo 6-3 6-4Bybit Stockholm Open · 1st Round
  2. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Arthur Fils 6-3 7-6BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs Kyrian Jacquet 7-6 6-1BNP Paribas Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  4. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Alex de Minaur 1-6 6-4 6-3Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 22 Oct 2026Lostvs Karen Khachanov 6-2 4-6 7-6Almaty Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur match? Alex de Minaur won their last meeting 1-6 6-4 6-3 at Vienna Open on 26 October 2026.

How have Alex de Minaur and Tomas Machac done lately? Alex de Minaur won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Tomas Machac won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Alex de Minaur 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
26 Oct 2026Alex de Minaur1-6 6-4 6-3Vienna Open · 1st RoundHard
9 Apr 2025Alex de Minaur3-6 6-0 6-3Monte Carlo Masters · 2nd RoundClay
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