Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Robert Stock is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 44%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 3:24AM UTC
MLB
Robert Stock
NYM
Robert Stock has one live pick today: Pitcher - Earned Runs Over 2.5 that pays $225 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Over 2.5
+125 (2.25) · $100→$225
Baltimore Orioles
@
New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 16 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Mets placed Stock on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with numbness in his fingers.
updated Sep 16, 6:24PM UTC · 19d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
2.8 Pitcher - Earned Runs
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 47.8% · before adjusting for past results 43.9% · the book's price implies 44.4% · gap +3.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 43.9% | 47.8% | 44.4% | 2.42 | -0.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Robert Stock (NYM) Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Robert Stock (NYM) Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+125). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Robert Stock (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Robert Stock is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets on Wednesday 16 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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