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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Miami Marlins

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:35AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Wed 4 Jun 2025, 4:10PM
20
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 5.5 Team Total +196

The model graded 26 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $296 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Jun 2025, 4:10PM at loanDepot Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.0%
The price says33.8%
Best price+196
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 5.5 Lean49% chance +196
Team Total High76% chance
Team Total Long-shot35% chance
Team Total Lean50% chance
Team Total High86% chance
Team Total Long-shot22% chance
Team Total High93% chance
Total Runs High68% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 92%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 4 props Highup to 93%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 97%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

Miami Marlins

  • Xavier Edwards 2BDay-to-day
  • Pete Fairbanks RPOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut

Probable pitcher

Janson Junk SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:36PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cal Quantrill MIA Pitcher - Walks
Brenton Doyle COL Batter - Stolen Bases
Cal Quantrill MIA Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Tyler Freeman COL Batter - Stolen Bases
Otto Lopez MIA Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami MarlinsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Free board14-11

Miami Marlins moneyline form: last five 3-2, 0.8 runs/gm.

Run LineMiami Marlins run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

Miami Marlins spread form: last five 3-2, 0.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Miami Marlins vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Miami Marlins total runs form: last five 3-2, 0.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMiami Marlins team totalNo line posted
0.7runs we expect
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

Miami Marlins team total runs form: last five 3-2, 0.8 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 1 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5WSHAway
L2–9WSHAway
W4–0BOSHome
L3–7BOSHome
L2–4BOSHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Miami Marlins won 5, Colorado Rockies won 2.

DateMiami MarlinsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 236Colorado Rockies
Jul 2414Colorado Rockies
Jul 1143Miami Marlins
Jun 30107Miami Marlins
Mar 2943Miami Marlins
Mar 2843Miami Marlins
Mar 2721Miami Marlins

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Xavier Edwards 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Pete Fairbanks RPOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies : Over 4.5 alternate_team_totals (+145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Colorado Rockies Over 4.5' is a solid choice based on the Rockies' recent offensive performance and the Marlins' defensive struggles. The Rockies have been averaging 4.3 runs in their last five games, which is close to the over line of 4.5. Additionally, their batting average is strong at 5.6 hits. On the other side, the Marlins have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 3.6 runs over their last five games. Their pitchers are also giving up an average of 2.6 walks when playing at home, which could potentially lead to more scoring opportunities for the Rockies. Therefore, the Rockies' consistent offensive performance combined with the Marlins' defensive weaknesses makes this bet a good choice.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 4 June 2025 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
Miami Marlins 16–11 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 10.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Jul 2026Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies6–3Colorado Rockies
1 Jul 2026Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies3–14Miami Marlins
30 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies7–10Miami Marlins
29 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies7–10Miami Marlins
29 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins4–3Miami Marlins
28 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins4–3Miami Marlins
27 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins2–1Miami Marlins
18 Sep 2025Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies7–9Miami Marlins
17 Sep 2025Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies4–8Miami Marlins
16 Sep 2025Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies5–6Miami Marlins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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