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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Miami Marlins

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:15PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Wed 4 Jun 2025, 4:10PM
20
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 4.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 26 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $210 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 63.5%, fair odds 1.57, book price +110, model edge +15.9%. Tip-off Wed 4 Jun 2025, 4:10PM at loanDepot Park.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Over
2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP

Miami Marlins

  • Kyle Stowers 1BDay-to-day
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Cal Quantrill MIA Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brenton Doyle COL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cal Quantrill MIA Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tyler Freeman COL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Otto Lopez MIA Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami MarlinsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1Free board10-6

Miami Marlins moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineMiami Marlins run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1Free board10-9

Miami Marlins spread form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Miami Marlins vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Miami Marlins total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMiami Marlins team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Miami Marlins team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.4 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 2 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W12–3LAAHome
W7–0LAAHome
L3–4LAAHome
L3–11ATLAway
L1–4ATLAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7STLAway
L2–3STLAway
W8–6STLAway
L7–9TBHome
L0–4TBHome

Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 4 times recently: Miami Marlins won 2, Colorado Rockies won 2.

DateMiami MarlinsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 2414Colorado Rockies
Jul 236Colorado Rockies
Jul 1143Miami Marlins
Jun 30107Miami Marlins

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Kyle Stowers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Max Meyer SPOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Jeff Criswell RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies : Over 4.5 alternate_team_totals (+145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Colorado Rockies Over 4.5' is a solid choice based on the Rockies' recent offensive performance and the Marlins' defensive struggles. The Rockies have been averaging 4.3 runs in their last five games, which is close to the over line of 4.5. Additionally, their batting average is strong at 5.6 hits. On the other side, the Marlins have been struggling defensively, allowing an average of 3.6 runs over their last five games. Their pitchers are also giving up an average of 2.6 walks when playing at home, which could potentially lead to more scoring opportunities for the Rockies. Therefore, the Rockies' consistent offensive performance combined with the Marlins' defensive weaknesses makes this bet a good choice.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 4 June 2025 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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