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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
Colorado Rockies

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 14, 9:32AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Wed 24 Jun 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game Picks
9
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Colorado Rockies 4.5 (Spread)
For Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies (MLB), model win probability 80.9%, fair odds 1.24, book price -370, model edge +2.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 24 Jun 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Colorado Rockies
3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • Ranger Suarez SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Trevor Story SSOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut

Probable pitcher

Payton Tolle SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Seth Halvorsen RPOut
  • Tomoyuki Sugano SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Michael Lorenzen SP
Availability updated Jul 13, 3:14PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jarren Duran BOS Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Willson Contreras STL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Caleb Durbin Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Wilyer Abreu Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
0.7implied team total
L5 RF1.2L5 RA2.2Home L51-4vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.2 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.0 runs per game (2-3) while Boston Red Sox are at 2.2 (4-1); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Boston Red Sox.

3.0
Colorado Rockies runs/G
2.2
Boston Red Sox runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesBoston Red Sox
Runs / game3.02.2
Hits / game5.44.2
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game1.41.4
Batter K / game3.22.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.00.8
Pitching K / game1.82.6
Walks allowed / game1.61.0
L5 record2-34-1

Boston Red Sox @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox stats and odds.</p>

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Under 10.5 Total Runs (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Under 10.5 Total Runs (-102)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Colorado Rockies Win (+152)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Under 12.5 Total Runs (-204)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Under 8.5 Total Runs (+200)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies vs Boston Red Sox : Colorado Rockies +1.5 (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate
DateMarketPickResult
24 Jun 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 3.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 7.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 1.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jun 26 Spread Colorado Rockies 4.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 24 June 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.