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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 4:33AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:40PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -164

The model graded 70 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $161 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:40PM at Chase Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.2%
The price says61.1%
Best price-164
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks High72% chance -164
Spread Lean44% chance
Spread Lean40% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings High60% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits × 8 props Highup to 96%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 83%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 86%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 84%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 76%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 80%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Arizona Diamondbacks -3.5 · $100 returned $470

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Zach Agnos SP

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Zac Gallen SPOut
  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Tommy Troy LFOut
  • Michael Soroka SPOut
  • Ketel Marte 2BOut
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOut
  • Ryne Nelson SPOut
  • Blake Walston SPOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut

Probable pitcher

Merrill Kelly SP
Mitch Bratt SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 2:05AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Lars Nootbaar STL Batter - Total Bases
Nolan Arenado STL Batter - Hits
Geraldo Perdomo ARI Batter - Total Bases
Mickey Moniak LAA Batter - Hits
Mitch Bratt Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA2.4Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L52-3

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA2.4Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L52-3Free board11-10

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 0-5, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
1.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA2.4Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L52-3

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–6SFAway
W7–1SFAway
L1–6SFAway
W5–4CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 3.0 runs per game (4-1) while Colorado Rockies are at 0.6 (0-5); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 0.2 earned runs per game versus 2.0 for Colorado Rockies.

3.0
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
0.6
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksColorado Rockies
Runs / game3.00.6
Hits / game3.42.8
Home runs / game0.80.0
Walks drawn / game0.80.4
Batter K / game2.61.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.22.0
Pitching K / game1.81.2
Walks allowed / game0.80.2
L5 record4-10-5

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 6, Colorado Rockies won 4.

DateArizona DiamondbacksColorado RockiesWinner
Aug 1223Colorado Rockies
Aug 1246Colorado Rockies
Aug 1190Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2454Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2491Arizona Diamondbacks
May 2323Colorado Rockies
May 2221Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1786Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1691Arizona Diamondbacks
May 1624Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Zac Gallen SPOUT
Corbin Burnes SPOUT
Tommy Troy LFOUT
Michael Soroka SPOUT
Ketel Marte 2BOUT
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LFOUT
Ryne Nelson SPOUT
Blake Walston SPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Arizona Diamondbacks +2.5 (-526), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks 0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks -0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 11.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 12 August 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Arizona Diamondbacks 41–21 across the last 62 meetings · these games average 10.2 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
11 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
10 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks9–0Arizona Diamondbacks
24 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–4Arizona Diamondbacks
23 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–3Colorado Rockies
22 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
21 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–1Arizona Diamondbacks
17 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies6–8Arizona Diamondbacks
16 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies4–2Colorado Rockies
15 May 2026Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies1–9Arizona Diamondbacks

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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