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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 4, 10:19AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:15PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
78.6%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals -2 Spread +625

The model graded 20 markets for Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $725 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 78.6% across 42 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Aug 2026, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.7%
The price says13.8%
Best price+625
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread St. Louis Cardinals -2 Lean45% chance +625
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Spread Lean53% chance
Total Runs Lean49% chance
Total Runs High70% chance
Spread High68% chance
Total Runs High66% chance
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings High91% chance
Spread Lean47% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
St. Louis Cardinals -2 · $100 returned $249

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 30 bookmakers compared
Winner
Cardinals1.82-122Betfair Exchange
Rockies2.20+120William Hill
Total runs
Over11.51.95-105ESPN BET
Under11.51.93-108LowVig

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 71 of 102 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Alika Williams Over 0.5
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $196
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals
-3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Quinn Mathews SP
Availability updated Sep 4, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6LADAway
W13–8LADAway
L4–5PITHome
W4–1PITHome
L2–6PITHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2BALHome
W6–5BALHome
L1–2BALHome
L2–3ATLAway
L1–2ATLAway

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 2.6 runs per game (4-1) while Colorado Rockies are at 4.4 (2-3); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 3.4 for Colorado Rockies.

2.6
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
4.4
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsColorado Rockies
Runs / game2.64.4
Hits / game3.65.6
Home runs / game0.41.0
Walks drawn / game1.60.8
Batter K / game1.02.6
Earned runs allowed / game0.83.4
Pitching K / game2.42.6
Walks allowed / game0.81.4
L5 record4-12-3

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 2, Colorado Rockies won 1.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsColorado RockiesWinner
Aug 974St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 832St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 868Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Masyn Winn SSOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals prediction for August 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 10, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits (-385), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
42
Total Picks
78.6%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Aug 26 Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -4.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -3.5 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -4 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -2 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 August 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 78.6% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
St. Louis Cardinals 12–10 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
9 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals7–4St. Louis Cardinals
8 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
7 Aug 2026Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
13 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals5–6Colorado Rockies
12 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals0–3Colorado Rockies
11 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals3–2St. Louis Cardinals
23 Jul 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies6–0Colorado Rockies
22 Jul 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies8–4Colorado Rockies
21 Jul 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies2–6St. Louis Cardinals
26 Sep 2024St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies10–8Colorado Rockies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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