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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 25, 11:58AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Wed 13 Aug 2025, 6:15PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 5.5 (Team Total Runs)
For Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB), model win probability 45.3%, fair odds 2.21, book price +280, model edge +19.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 13 Aug 2025, 6:15PM at Busch Stadium.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Over
6.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut

Probable pitcher

Dustin May SP
Availability updated Jul 25, 12:15AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
3.0implied team total
L5 RF1.8L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.2 runs per game (1-4) while Colorado Rockies are at 4.3 (2-3); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Colorado Rockies.

4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsColorado Rockies
Runs / game4.24.3
Hits / game6.85.6
Home runs / game0.60.6
Walks drawn / game3.23.9
Batter K / game7.48.0
Earned runs allowed / game4.22.8
Pitching K / game5.85.1
Walks allowed / game3.63.2
L5 record1-42-3

Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

<p>Deep dive into St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Masyn Winn. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.</p>

Masyn Winn (STL) Under 1.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 bet for Masyn Winn is a savvy choice given his recent batting performance. Winn's last five games show an average of only 0.6 hits overall and 0.4 hits at home, both well below the 1.5 line. Even when considering his performance against the Rockies, his hits average is 1.4, still under the line. Moreover, his plate appearances (PA) averages are consistent at 3.6 overall and at home, indicating that the number of opportunities he gets to hit isn't fluctuating significantly. While he is on a hitting streak, the low hit averages suggest that he is more likely to get one hit rather than two or more in a game. Therefore, the under bet is statistically backed.

Victor Scott II (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Victor Scott II for under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, both overall and at home. This indicates a low likelihood of him stealing a base in this upcoming game. Furthermore, his performance against the Colorado Rockies specifically is even less promising, with an average of 0 stolen bases in the last five games. Additionally, his current hit streak is only at 1, which doesn't suggest a sudden surge in his performance. The opposition's average of catching stealing attempts is 0.3, further reducing the odds of a successful steal. These statistics collectively imply that it is statistically unlikely for Victor Scott II to steal a base in this game.

Alec Burleson (STL) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 hits bet for Alec Burleson is statistically sound, considering his recent performance data. His last five games' overall average hits are 0.8, which is significantly lower than the 1.5 line. Furthermore, his home average hits stand at 0.4, indicating a lower productivity at home. His performance against the Colorado Rockies also supports this bet, with an average of 0.8 hits in the last five encounters. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero, both overall and at home, suggesting a slump in form. The plate appearances averages, both at home and against the Rockies, do not indicate a high probability of exceeding the 1.5 hits line. Therefore, based on these statistics, the under 1.5 hits bet for Burleson is a well-founded choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies : Over 5.5 Total Runs (-435)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 5.5' bet for the Total Runs market in the Cardinals vs Rockies game is a strong choice given the teams' recent scoring records. On average, the Cardinals have scored 4.2 runs in their last five games, while the Rockies have scored 4.3. This combined average of 8.5 runs per game is significantly higher than the line of 5.5. Additionally, the Cardinals have a strong record against the Rockies, winning all of their last five games, which suggests their offensive performance is effective against this opponent. Furthermore, the Rockies have allowed an average of 4.8 runs in their last five away games, which could further boost the Cardinals' scoring. These statistics indicate that the total runs are likely to exceed 5.5.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies : St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The St. Louis Cardinals have a strong record against the Colorado Rockies, winning all of their last five encounters. This suggests a significant performance advantage. Furthermore, the Cardinals' home record shows they win more often than not, with a 3-2 record in their last five home games. Although the Cardinals' overall recent run average is slightly lower than the Rockies, their home run average is higher at 3.6 versus the Rockies' away run average of 3. This, coupled with the Cardinals' significantly lower home runs allowed average (1.4), compared to the Rockies' away runs allowed average (4.8), indicates a higher likelihood of the Cardinals winning by at least 2 runs. Therefore, the bet on 'St. Louis Cardinals -1.5' for the Run Line market is a good choice.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies : St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The St. Louis Cardinals have a compelling betting case for a -1.5 run line. They have a solid home advantage, as demonstrated by their 3-2 record at home in their last five games. Most notably, they have dominated recent matchups with the Colorado Rockies, winning all five of the last encounters. Furthermore, the Cardinals' defense has been particularly effective at home, allowing an average of only 1.4 runs in their last five home games, significantly lower than the Rockies' average of 4.8 runs allowed in their last five away games. This defensive strength, combined with the Cardinals' proven ability to outscore the Rockies, suggests a high likelihood of them covering a -1.5 run line.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 13 August 2025 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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