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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Cincinnati Reds

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 12:36PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Tue 24 Jun 2025, 11:10PM
0
Game markets graded
13
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 99 of 151 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 9
Brock Rodden Over 0.5
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
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Our call on this game: 3 picks on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BDay-to-day
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Nick Lodolo SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Elly De La Cruz CIN Batter - Stolen Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Batter - Stolen Bases
Matt McLain CIN Batter - Stolen Bases
Max Fried NYY Pitcher - Walks
Max Fried NYY Pitcher - Strikeouts

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L53-2

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L53-2

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.5runs we expect
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L53-2

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for New York Yankees at Cincinnati Reds — 0 on the game itself and 13 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6LADAway
W12–8MILHome
W5–3MILHome
L7–10MILHome
W7–3SDHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3COLHome
L3–4SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W5–1SDAway
W6–3LAAAway

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 2, New York Yankees won 1.

DateCincinnati RedsNew York YankeesWinner
Jun 2141Cincinnati Reds
Jun 20102Cincinnati Reds
Jun 1905New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees. Includes analysis on key players like TJ Friedl. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

TJ Friedl (CIN) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

TJ Friedl has a strong recent performance, with an average of 2 hits in his last 5 overall games and 1.2 hits in his last 5 home games. This shows a consistent ability to get on base. Furthermore, his plate appearances averages of 5.4 overall and 4.4 at home suggest he will have ample opportunities to hit. The most compelling statistic is his current hit streaks. Friedl has hit successfully in his last 6 overall games and his last 5 home games. This shows a sustained period of good form, increasing the likelihood that he will hit successfully in the upcoming game. Therefore, the bet on TJ Friedl for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice based on his recent performance data.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Reds, or as Reds vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 24 June 2025 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees1–4Cincinnati Reds
20 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–10Cincinnati Reds
19 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees5–0New York Yankees
25 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–7New York Yankees
24 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds5–4Cincinnati Reds
23 Jun 2025New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds6–1Cincinnati Reds
4 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–8Cincinnati Reds
3 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees2–3Cincinnati Reds
2 Jul 2024Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees4–5Cincinnati Reds
21 May 2023New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds1–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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