As the Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Athletics, all eyes should be on Geraldo Perdomo. The young shortstop has been a spark plug for the D-backs, but when it comes to drawing walks, he’s been more of a contact hitter lately. With a walk rate hovering around 5% this season, he’s been selective yet aggressive at the plate—traits that often lead to fewer free passes.
The Athletics' pitching staff, while not elite, has shown a knack for avoiding walks, ranking in the top tier of the league in that category. With Perdomo facing Oakland's disciplined arms, it’s hard to see him drawing a walk tonight. If recent trends hold, betting the under on his walks feels like the prudent play. With the Diamondbacks looking to capitalize on their offensive momentum, expect Perdomo to put the ball in play rather than take a stroll to first base.
Jorge Barrosa (NA) Under 0.5 Hits (-222)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks prepare to host the Athletics, all eyes might be on the big bats, but let’s shine a light on Jorge Barrosa. The young outfielder has been struggling to find his rhythm at the plate lately, and facing a solid Arizona pitching staff won’t help his cause.
The Diamondbacks’ hurler has been effective at neutralizing left-handed hitters, and Barrosa, who’s been fanning at a higher rate than usual, could find himself in a tight spot. Recent trends show that he’s been held hitless in several games, and with the D-backs’ defense backing up their pitchers, the odds favor a quiet afternoon for him.
With an implied probability of 69% for Barrosa to stay under 0.5 hits, it’s hard to ignore the trends lining up against him. Expect a game where he struggles to make any solid contact, making the ‘Under’ a savvy play.
Jorge Barrosa (NA) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks gear up to face the Athletics, all eyes will be on Jorge Barrosa and his quest for runs. However, the numbers suggest it might be a quiet night for him at the plate. Barrosa, while showing flashes of potential, has struggled recently, failing to consistently find his way across home plate. Arizona's lineup has been potent, but with their focus on bigger bats at the top, Barrosa often finds himself lower in the order—less opportunity to score when the big hitters aren't driving him in.
On the mound, the A’s will likely deploy a crafty pitcher who can keep the pressure on. Given Barrosa's current form and the way he’s been utilized, betting on him to score under 0.5 runs feels like a savvy move. The projected stat of 0.24 aligns with the trend of him being more of a supporting player rather than a run-producing force in this matchup.
Gabriel Moreno (NA) Under 0.5 Walks (-500)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Diamondbacks take on the Athletics, all eyes should be on Gabriel Moreno when it comes to the walks market. This season, Moreno has been a consistent bat but not necessarily a patient one at the plate. His tendency to swing early in counts has contributed to a lower walk rate, making the under on 0.5 walks a compelling play.
Moreover, Arizona’s lineup has been aggressive lately, often putting pressure on opposing pitchers rather than waiting for free passes. Facing the A's, who have struggled with consistency on the mound, the Diamondbacks are likely to make contact rather than take a seat on ball four. Given Moreno's profile and the current dynamics of both teams, the under looks appealing. With an implied probability hovering around 83.3%, it seems the odds are clearly in favor of a quiet day at the plate for Moreno in terms of walks.
Ketel Marte (NA) Under 0.5 Walks (-526)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
When the Diamondbacks take on the Athletics, all eyes will be on Ketel Marte, but not necessarily for his walks. While Marte is a talented hitter, he’s been trending down in terms of drawing free passes. This season, he’s averaging less than a walk per game, and against a pitcher like the A's starter, who has shown strong command lately, I wouldn't expect him to break that mold.
Arizona's offense is known for aggressive swings, which often leads to less patience at the plate. Add in that the A's have a solid late-season rotation that’s been effective at limiting walks, and it starts painting a picture of Marte likely being more involved in putting the ball in play than seeking a walk. The odds certainly lean towards Marte staying under that 0.5 walk mark tonight, making it a compelling angle to consider.