Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Kepler is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +9.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+9.1% Edge
Colorado Rockies
@
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
85.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 94.6% | — | 85.5% | 1.06 | +9.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Max Kepler (MIN) Under 0.5 Doubles (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Arizona Diamondbacks play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Kepler (MIN) Under 0.5 Doubles (-588). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
5 markets liveBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -145 Game log vs U 1.55 / 6 hit
Max Kepler MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -145.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -312 Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
Max Kepler MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -312.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -192 Game log vs U 0.55 / 5 hit
Max Kepler MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -192.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -175 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Max Kepler MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -175.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -588 Game log vs U 0.54 / 4 hit
Max Kepler MLB doubles. Current line U 0.5 at -588.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Kepler MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Kepler MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Max Kepler MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Max Kepler (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Kepler is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday 11 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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