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Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Analytics Breakdown
Latest NBA betting preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When the Dallas Mavericks take on the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting the under on his points at 34.5 feels like the smart play here. Flagg has been exceptional lately, averaging 30.2 points in his last five games. However, on the road, that average dips to a more modest 23.4. What's even more telling is his performance against the Clippers, where he typically scores around 23 points. Given the pressure of this matchup and the defensive adjustments the Clippers are likely to deploy, it's reasonable to expect Flagg to struggle to reach that lofty threshold. Not to mention, he's hit the under in 18 of his last 20 games and has a perfect record away. With an implied probability of 77.5% for the under, it feels like a solid call to bank on Flagg falling short of that 34.5 mark.
Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-345)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When the Clippers face the Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for an under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a savvy move. Flagg has been a bit of a mixed bag on the road, averaging just 23.4 points away, significantly below the 48.5 mark we're focusing on. His recent performances against the Mavericks, where he's averaged only 23 points and 3.3 assists, suggest he's struggled to find his rhythm against this squad.While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his overall hit rate is impressive, but it's worth noting that he's also hit the under in 12 straight away games. The Mavericks' defense is no pushover, too, holding him to an average of 7.7 rebounds in those matchups. Given these factors, we're leaning towards a solid under play on Flagg in this contest.
Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 40.5 Points + Assists (-345)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Mavericks gear up to face the Clippers, all eyes are on rookie sensation Cooper Flagg. However, betting on him to go over 40.5 points and assists feels like a stretch. Historically, Flagg has thrived at home, but his away performances tell a different story. Averaging just 23.4 points and 6 assists on the road, he's shown a tendency to underperform outside of familiar confines.Against the Clippers, he's averaged only 23 points and 3.3 assists, and let's not forget his recent away games, where he consistently fell short of expectations. With an impressive 20-for-20 hit rate under this threshold in his last 20 away games, it's clear that the odds favor the under. The Mavericks' defensive intensity could further stifle Flagg's production, making the under on 40.5 a compelling play in this matchup.
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