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John Collins

LA Clippers

Value call

John Collins (LA Clippers) has one live pick today: over 11.5 points that pays $202 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
14.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 70.9% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +21.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Wed 15 Apr, 10:00 PM ET
John Collins
over 11.5 points
Points Over 11.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.20 Odds+102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Collins is Over 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:48AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points70.9%—49.5%1.41+21.4%

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AI Analysis

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John Collins (LA Clippers) Over 11.5 Points (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In tonight's clash between the Clippers and Warriors, John Collins stands out as a prime candidate to exceed 11.5 points. His recent form has been nothing short of stellar, averaging 13.4 points over his last five games, and an impressive 14.8 when playing at home. But what really boosts our confidence is his past performance against the Warriors; Collins has averaged 14.8 points against them lately, which is significant considering Golden State's defense has allowed opposing forwards to score an average of 17.4 points in their last five games. With an 87.5% hit rate in his last eight games and a perfect 100% at home over his last five, the signs are all pointing to a big night for Collins. It's a matchup tailored for him to shine, making the over on 11.5 points not just a possibility, but a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

John Collins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 40 games in the 2024-25 season, John Collins averaged 19.0 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 30.5 minutes per game, shooting 52.7% from the field and 39.9% from three-point range.

19.0
PPG
8.2
RPG
2.0
APG
1.0
SPG
1.0
BPG
30.5
MPG
52.7%
FG%
39.9%
3P%

John Collins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, John Collins has played 32.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.2
MPG (L5)
24.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

John Collins — points hit rate

John Collins has scored over 15.5 points in 48% of 330 career games.

o11.573%
o12.567%
o15.548%
o20.525%
o25.512%

John Collins — home vs away scoring

At home John Collins averages 19.8 points per game; on the road, 18.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.8
PPG at home
18.1
PPG on the road

John Collins — scoring by opponent

John Collins scores most against the DAL, averaging 22.0 points per game in that matchup.

22.0
DAL
20.7
OKC
19.6
BKN
18.6
PHX
18.2
HOU
18.1
WSH

John Collins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, John Collins has averaged 21.7 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mar@ MEM282270
10 Mar@ BOS3428102
28 Febvs MIN2729121
21 Febvs OKC312631
13 Febvs LAC411771
12 Febvs LAL271781
10 Feb@ LAL3617110
7 Feb@ PHX392162
5 Febvs GS301952
3 Febvs IND3221120
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

John Collins (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Collins is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday 15 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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