Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NBA

John Collins

Detroit Pistons

Value call

John Collins (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: under 14.5 points that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
12.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.3% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +22.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Fri 30 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
John Collins
under 14.5 points
Points Under 14.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Collins is Under 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:24AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points73.3%—51.3%1.37+22.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons: John Collins Under 14.5 Points (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For the bet to hit tonight, John Collins needs to score fewer than 14.5 points against the Detroit Pistons. The odds look good because the Pistons have been tough on defense, allowing fewer points and forcing more turnovers than the average team. Collins might find it hard to get open looks, especially if he faces extra attention from the Pistons' defenders. However, it's worth noting that the Brooklyn Nets let opponents grab a lot of rebounds, which can lead to second-chance points. If Collins gets into foul trouble or isn't involved in the offense, he could struggle to reach that point total. It's not a sure thing, but there's a solid chance he stays under 14.5 tonight.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

John Collins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 40 games in the 2024-25 season, John Collins averaged 19.0 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 30.5 minutes per game, shooting 52.7% from the field and 39.9% from three-point range.

19.0
PPG
8.2
RPG
2.0
APG
1.0
SPG
1.0
BPG
30.5
MPG
52.7%
FG%
39.9%
3P%

John Collins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, John Collins has played 32.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.2
MPG (L5)
24.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

John Collins — points hit rate

John Collins has scored over 15.5 points in 48% of 330 career games.

o11.573%
o12.567%
o15.548%
o20.525%
o25.512%

John Collins — home vs away scoring

At home John Collins averages 19.8 points per game; on the road, 18.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.8
PPG at home
18.1
PPG on the road

John Collins — scoring by opponent

John Collins scores most against the DAL, averaging 22.0 points per game in that matchup.

22.0
DAL
20.7
OKC
19.6
BKN
18.6
PHX
18.2
HOU
18.1
WSH

John Collins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, John Collins has averaged 21.7 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mar@ MEM282270
10 Mar@ BOS3428102
28 Febvs MIN2729121
21 Febvs OKC312631
13 Febvs LAC411771
12 Febvs LAL271781
10 Feb@ LAL3617110
7 Feb@ PHX392162
5 Febvs GS301952
3 Febvs IND3221120
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Points 14.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

John Collins (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Collins is Under 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.0% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets on Friday 30 October at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.