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The latest Bet Better model pick for John Collins is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 55%, implied 40%, edge +15.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:32PM UTC
NBA

John Collins

LA Clippers

+15.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 18.5 +152 (2.52) · $100→$252
+15.2% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
19.3 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 54.9% · the book's price implies 39.7% · gap +15.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs54.9%—39.7%1.82+15.2%

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AI Analysis

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John Collins (LA Clippers) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (+152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Clippers and Warriors, John Collins stands out as a prime candidate to exceed 18.5 points and rebounds. His recent form has been nothing short of impressive; in the last eight games, he's hit this mark seven times, showcasing a growing synergy with the Clippers' offense. Playing at home, Collins has averaged 14.8 points and 7.4 rebounds, and those numbers seem poised to rise against the Warriors, who struggle to contain versatile bigs. Historically, he has averaged 14.8 points and 6.4 rebounds in their last five matchups, which bodes well for this game. Given the Warriors' recent defensive lapses-allowing opponents 17.4 points and 7.6 rebounds per game-it's reasonable to expect Collins to thrive. With an expected stat value of 19.34, betting the Over on Collins feels not just optimistic but well-founded.

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Pick History & Track Record

John Collins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 40 games in the 2024-25 season, John Collins averaged 19.0 points, 8.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists in 30.5 minutes per game, shooting 52.7% from the field and 39.9% from three-point range.

19.0
PPG
8.2
RPG
2.0
APG
1.0
SPG
1.0
BPG
30.5
MPG
52.7%
FG%
39.9%
3P%

John Collins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, John Collins has played 32.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.2
MPG (L5)
24.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

John Collins — points hit rate

John Collins has scored over 15.5 points in 48% of 330 career games.

o11.573%
o12.567%
o15.548%
o20.525%
o25.512%

John Collins — home vs away scoring

At home John Collins averages 19.8 points per game; on the road, 18.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.8
PPG at home
18.1
PPG on the road

John Collins — scoring by opponent

John Collins scores most against the DAL, averaging 22.0 points per game in that matchup.

22.0
DAL
20.7
OKC
19.6
BKN
18.6
PHX
18.2
HOU
18.1
WSH

John Collins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, John Collins has averaged 21.7 points, 8.1 rebounds and 1.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mar@ MEM282270
10 Mar@ BOS3428102
28 Febvs MIN2729121
21 Febvs OKC312631
13 Febvs LAC411771
12 Febvs LAL271781
10 Feb@ LAL3617110
7 Feb@ PHX392162
5 Febvs GS301952
3 Febvs IND3221120
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

John Collins (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Collins is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.2% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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