On Saturday 12 September 2026, Everton play Ipswich Town in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -370 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to face Ipswich Town, the signs are pointing firmly toward a lively encounter. While Everton has struggled recently with a 1-2-2 record at home, they’ve still managed to score an average of 1.8 goals at Goodison Park, and they're expected to find the back of the net against a defense that’s conceded 2 goals per game on the road. Ipswich's away form shows a slight dip, but their ability to create chances remains evident, averaging 1.2 goals away. With both teams averaging over 12 shots per game, the potential for two or more goals is hard to ignore. Given Everton’s need for a morale boost and Ipswich’s desire to capitalize on any defensive lapses, betting on over 1.5 goals feels like a smart move. The stage is set for a match that promises at least a couple of goals, making this a compelling wager.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton -0.25 Goal Handicap (-189)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
This matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for Everton to bounce back against Ipswich Town. While Everton’s recent form at home has been a mixed bag, their past encounters with Ipswich show a decisive edge, winning one of the last two matchups. The Toffees have averaged 1.8 goals at home recently, and with 13.6 shots per game, they’re creating chances, even if their xG hasn’t shone through yet. Ipswich, on the other hand, struggles to convert their own opportunities, averaging just 1.2 goals away from home while conceding 2. Recent data suggests they will find it tough against a determined Everton side. With Everton holding a slight edge in the implied probability, backing them with a -0.25 handicap feels like a strategic choice. Expect the Toffees to leverage their home support and edge Ipswich out in what could be a tightly contested affair.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton Moneyline (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the stats paint a picture of a team on the cusp of resurgence. Despite a mixed bag of recent home results, Everton has shown they can score, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five at Goodison Park. They’ve also managed to keep the pressure on with an average of 13.6 shots per game, indicating a willingness to attack. Ipswich, meanwhile, has been inconsistent away, yielding an average of 2 goals against them. Their last five encounters against Everton haven’t gone well either, with a record showing they struggle in this matchup. With Everton’s slight edge in expected goals and their ability to capitalize on home advantage, a bet on them to take all three points feels promising. They’re poised to turn the tide and secure a much-needed victory.
That is how our model reads Everton v Ipswich Town. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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