On Sunday 13 September 2026, Everton play Ipswich Town in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -385 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter that could see goals flow freely. Everton's home form shows a tendency to concede, averaging two goals against in their last five at Goodison Park. Meanwhile, Ipswich has been no slouch on the road, netting an average of 1.8 goals in their last five away matches. The attacking stats from both sides point to an exciting showdown; Everton has recorded a solid shot average of 13.6 at home, while Ipswich matches that with their own attacking prowess, averaging 13.2 shots away. With both teams showcasing vulnerabilities at the back, the expectation for over 1.5 goals seems not only reasonable but likely. Given the recent trends and firepower on display, this matchup is primed for a couple of goals, making the bet on the total going over 1.5 a compelling choice.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton -0.25 Goal Handicap (-196)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, recent form paints an intriguing picture. Though the Toffees have struggled at home with just one win in their last five, they’re still averaging a respectable 1.8 goals per match on home turf. Ipswich, meanwhile, has had a mixed bag away, scoring an equal 1.8 goals but conceding two per game. The key here is Everton's defensive resilience; they hold opponents to an average of just 0.8 goals in their last five home games, suggesting they have the chops to stifle Ipswich's attack. Moreover, Everton's slight edge in expected goals (xG) and their ability to generate chances—averaging nearly 14 shots per match—could give them the upper hand. Given these factors, betting on Everton to cover the -0.25 handicap feels like a smart play. They’re due for a breakout, and this matchup presents a prime opportunity for them to find their stride.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton Moneyline (-130)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the home side’s recent form suggests they’re itching for a turnaround. Despite a shaky home record of just one win in their last five, they've shown resilience, averaging 1.8 goals at Goodison Park while only conceding 2. What's encouraging is their superior expected goals (xG) performance—though the numbers have been concerning lately, they still create opportunities, averaging about 13.6 shots per home game. Ipswich, on the other hand, has been solid on the road, but their head-to-head history against Everton isn’t promising— they’ve struggled in past encounters, with no victories in the last two meetings. With the crowd behind them and the added pressure on the Toffees to perform, their blend of experience and tactical acumen makes them the likely victors here. Backing Everton to claim all three points sounds like a wise move this weekend.
That is how our model reads Everton v Ipswich Town. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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