Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 7.5 Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons host the New Orleans Pelicans, eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins, but betting on him to fall short of 7.5 assists makes a lot of sense. Jenkins has been on a remarkable run, but let's dig deeper. Over his last 20 games, he's only surpassed this mark four times, hitting the under a staggering 80% of the time. At home, he's even more restrained, with a hit rate of just 4% on this prop in his last 17 appearances. Given the Pelicans' defense, which has been particularly stingy against playmakers, Jenkins may find it tough to set up his teammates effectively. The expected stat value of just 5.39 assists further supports this notion. With these trends in mind, targeting the under feels like a savvy play as Jenkins aims to navigate a challenging matchup.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 35.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Jalen Duren. However, I believe there's value in betting the under on his combined points and rebounds at 35.5. Duren has been solid this season, but let's consider the matchup: he's hit this mark in just 9 of his last 12 games, which doesn't inspire confidence against a Pelicans squad that ranks among the top defenses in the league. Moreover, he's shown a tendency to struggle against teams that excel in rebounding, and New Orleans is no slouch in that department. Factor in Duren's home hit rate, while impressive at 15 of 20, it also indicates he's been riding an unsustainable wave. With an expected stat value of just 29.12, this feels like a perfect spot for the under to come through.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Daniss Jenkins, the numbers suggest a strong case for taking the under on 1.5 threes made against the New Orleans Pelicans. Playing at home, he's been on a roll lately, but the matchup presents some interesting challenges. Over the last 20 games, he's only hit this mark 17 times, which shows he's been more selective in his shooting. At home, Jenkins has been particularly cautious, hitting just 8 of his last 9 attempts. The Pistons' offensive scheme tends to rely on ball movement rather than heavy reliance on the three-pointer, limiting Jenkins' opportunities. Plus, the Pelicans are known for their strong perimeter defense, which could further stifle his chances. With an expected stat value of only 1.2 and an implied probability suggesting just under a coin flip for hitting the over, it feels prudent to lean toward the under in this home matchup.

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