Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 7.5 Assists (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When considering Daniss Jenkins for the under on assists at 7.5 against the New Orleans Pelicans, it's hard to ignore his recent performance trends. At home, Jenkins has been a playmaker, but not quite at a level that justifies going over this number. In fact, he's hit the under in 13 of his last 16 home games, demonstrating a pattern of assisting fewer than expected. His average sits at only 4.99 assists, which tells us he's consistently falling short of that 7.5 mark. The Pelicans, while competitive, are not known for pushing the pace or generating a high assist rate against teams like the Pistons. With Jenkins hitting the under 17 times in his last 20 games, this matchup seems ripe for another lower assist total. All signs point to him staying below that threshold once again.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 11.5 Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Daniss Jenkins, the numbers tell a compelling story, especially in this matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans. Playing at home, Jenkins has consistently struggled to hit the over on his combined rebounds and assists, with an impressive under hit rate of 14 out of his last 16 games at the Little Caesars Arena. The expected stat value of 8.2 suggests he's been doing just enough without going over that 11.5 mark. Moreover, his overall hit rate of 18 out of 20 in recent games indicates a pattern that we can confidently rely on. The Pistons are likely to lean on their established playmakers, which means Jenkins may have limited opportunities to pad his numbers. With an implied probability hovering around 56.2%, this prop bet feels like a smart play-capitalizing on Jenkins' trend while he navigates a matchup where less might just be more.

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Detroit Pistons welcome the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, but let's take a closer look at the three-point line. Harris has been solid at home, averaging 1.4 threes over his last five games, yet context is crucial. Against the Pelicans, he's only managed an average of 0.4 threes in recent meetings, and at home, he's only hitting 1 per game against them. Given that he's been under the 1.5 mark in 12 of his last 15 games, it seems the odds are stacked against him. This matchup also highlights a trend: his hit rate is significantly lower against New Orleans, making the under a compelling play at -135. With the Pistons looking to find their rhythm, expect Harris to focus more on facilitating than launching deep shots. Taking the under on his threes makes sense here.

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