Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Daniss Jenkins and his three-point shooting, the numbers tell a compelling story that leans towards the under on 1.5 made threes. Playing at home for the Pistons, Jenkins has been a reliable role player, but lately, he's hit just 1.2 threes per game on average-well below our target. In his last 20 games, he's only exceeded this mark three times, which gives him a hit rate of just 15%. Even more striking, at home, Jenkins has only managed to sink two or more threes in one of his last nine appearances. Facing a Pelicans defense that limits perimeter shots well, Jenkins may struggle to find his rhythm. With the statistics backing our intuition, betting the under feels not just smart but almost necessary. This is a classic case of fading expectations where the numbers suggest a tighter night for Jenkins.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons prepare to face the New Orleans Pelicans, Jalen Duren's rebounding total of 12.5 feels a bit lofty. While Duren is a promising talent, he's been trending downward lately, managing just 10.87 boards on average in recent outings. Over his last six games, he's only surpassed this mark once, showcasing a hit rate of just 1 in 6. At home, he's found modest success, nabbing 2 out of 3, but the Pelicans pose a unique challenge with their dynamic frontcourt. Their aggressive style can disrupt Duren's rhythm, pushing him away from the boards. Given all of this, targeting the under could be a savvy play. The numbers support a calculated expectation that Duren will struggle to reach that 12.5 threshold, making this bet not just a numbers game, but a strategic assessment of matchup dynamics.

Derik Queen (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (+227)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Detroit Pistons, all eyes should be on Derik Queen, especially when it comes to the points and rebounds prop set at 14.5. Queen has shown he can rise to the occasion on the road, hitting the over in 12 of his last 20 away games. The Pistons, while competitive, struggle with interior defense, which could open up opportunities for Queen to capitalize. In his last 18 outings, he's averaged close to 14 points and rebounds combined, but it's his recent form-10 hits in those last 18-that truly stands out. With a calculated edge of 16.6% in this matchup, it's hard to ignore the likelihood that he'll exceed that threshold. When the lights shine bright, Queen has a knack for stepping up, making this over a compelling bet against a Pistons team that's ripe for exploitation.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro