Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 9.5 Assists (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Hawks, all eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins, especially when considering an under on his assist total. Despite his impressive playmaking abilities, Jenkins has consistently struggled to hit double digits in assists against Atlanta, averaging just 4.7 over their last five matchups, and an even lower 3.5 when playing at home. His recent form shows Jenkins averaging 7 assists in his last five games, but let's not overlook the numbers-he hasn't eclipsed the 9.5 mark in his last 20 outings. The Hawks' defense is solid, and with an implied probability of 77.5% for this under bet, the signs are clear. Given Jenkins' historical performance against this specific opponent and at home, betting the under seems like a smart play as he's likely to stay under that 9.5 threshold once again.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 28.5 Points + Assists (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When targeting Daniss Jenkins for the under on points and assists against the Atlanta Hawks, there's a compelling case to be made. Despite playing at home, Jenkins has averaged just 14.6 points and 7 assists in his last five games at Detroit. Historically, he's faced challenges against the Hawks, posting a mere 7 points and 3.5 assists on average at home against them. While he's had some bright moments this season, his recent overall performance leads to an expected stat value of only 17.42, which is significantly below the 28.5 line we're looking at. With a hit rate of 18 out of the last 20 games, Jenkins is trending towards the under, especially considering the Hawks' ability to stifle opposing guards. This combination of factors paints a clear picture: betting the under here feels like a smart play.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes will be on Jalen Duren, but it's worth considering the under on his combined points and rebounds at 39.5. While Duren's been impressive lately, averaging 24.6 points and 10 rebounds over his last five games, his home performance against the Hawks suggests a different story. At home, he's only managed 20.8 points and 10.8 rebounds, with recent matchups against Atlanta yielding just 13.6 points and 7.8 rebounds. Notably, Duren has hit the under in three straight contests, which aligns with a remarkable 85% success rate at home over his last 20 games. Given the Hawks' ability to limit opposing bigs, this might be a perfect storm for a lower output. The stats tell a compelling tale-betting under 39.5 seems like a sharp play in this matchup.

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