Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 9.5 Assists (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins for a compelling player prop bet: the under on his assists, set at 9.5. While Jenkins has been solid lately, averaging about 7 assists in his last five games, history suggests a dip against the Hawks. In fact, his average against Atlanta is just 4.7 assists and lowers to 3.5 when playing at home. This matchup is particularly telling; Jenkins has hit the under in every game over the last 20, showcasing an impressive 100% hit rate. With an implied probability of 77.5% and a model edge of 21.9%, it seems clear that Jenkins may struggle to reach that lofty mark this time around. Given Detroit's overall dynamics and Jenkins's recent form against this opponent, the under feels like a savvy play.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 28.5 Points + Assists (-303)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Hawks, all eyes should be on Daniss Jenkins, but perhaps not in the way one might think. Sure, he's been a solid contributor, but let's not overlook his recent numbers. Over the last five games, Jenkins has averaged just 16 points and 7 assists, a far cry from the 28.5 total we're targeting. When matched up against the Hawks, he's only managed about 9.3 points and 4.7 assists, and his home performance dips even further, averaging 7 points and 3.5 assists. What's telling is his phenomenal hit rate, going under this mark in 18 of his last 20 games-at home, he's perfect. With the Pistons' offense struggling to find rhythm, Jenkins may find it tough to reach that lofty 28.5 figure tonight. Betting the under seems like a smart play in this matchup.

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons host the Hawks, all eyes will be on Jalen Duren. While he's had a decent run lately, averaging around 24.6 points and 10 rebounds over his last five games, the matchup presents some challenges. Historically, Duren has struggled to hit the mark against Atlanta, averaging just 18 points and 8 rebounds in their recent encounters. At home, those numbers dip even further, with averages of 13.6 points and 7.8 rebounds.The pressure of a home crowd can sometimes inflate a player's stats, but Duren has hit the under in a staggering 17 of his last 20 home games. With an expected stat value of 27.52, he's well below that 39.5 line. Given his recent performance and historical data, taking the Under on Duren seems like a savvy bet in this matchup.

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