Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic. While his average assists over the last five games sit at a healthy 11.6, a closer look reveals a couple of intriguing factors that suggest a dip in production tonight. Jokic typically thrives at home, averaging 13 assists, but against the Grizzlies, he's delivered only 10.4 assists per game on his turf.With Memphis boasting a defensive scheme that often limits playmakers, it could be a tougher night for Jokic. The Nuggets will likely rely more on their scoring depth, reducing Jokic's playmaking burden. Given his expected stat value of 8.68 and the possibility of him falling under that 10.5 mark, taking the under on Jokic's assists feels like a savvy bet in this matchup. This game could see him facilitating less and finishing more.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, a player whose versatility often makes betting against him a tough call. However, let's consider the numbers: Jokic's recent performances at home have shown he's been trending downward in terms of combined rebounds and assists, averaging just over 20 per game. Sure, he's a powerhouse, but against the Grizzlies, he's historically hovered around 14 boards and 11 assists in recent matchups-both below our target of 23.5. In fact, his last three home outings against Memphis saw him fall short of this mark two out of three times. With Jokic's recent trend and the Grizzlies' defensive approach, this might just be the game where the reigning MVP finds himself under his usual production. It's a gamble worth taking to ride the under this time.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 24.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to host the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes should be on Nikola Jokic, particularly when it comes to his scoring. The reigning MVP has been on an absolute tear at home, consistently surpassing the 24.5 points mark, averaging a remarkable 31.2 points in his last five home games. Against Memphis, Jokic has also shown he can elevate his game, dropping an average of 25 points when they come to town. With a hit rate of 4 out of his last 5 outings and maintaining perfect form at home in his last four contests, it's clear he thrives on familiar ground. Given his expected stat value of 28.64, betting on Jokic to score over 24.5 points feels not just safe, but almost inevitable. It's hard to envision a scenario where he doesn't assert his dominance in this matchup.

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