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Jamal Murray

Denver Nuggets

Value call
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits

Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) has one live pick today: under 32.5 points that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
96 in 100
Predicted
22.0 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 96.4% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +45.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 10:30 PM ET
Jamal Murray
under 32.5 points
Points Under 32.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
HIGHWins about 96 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jamal Murray is Under 32.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 96 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 96%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points96.4%—51.3%1.04+45.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Under 32.5 Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes should be on Jamal Murray's scoring output. While he's been a dynamic force, we're leaning toward the under on his points prop set at 32.5. Murray's recent form shows he's averaged 23.6 points over his last five games, dipping slightly to 22.4 at home. Against Minnesota, he's put up an impressive 27.6 on average, but context matters. The Nuggets' offense is deep, and with players like Nikola Jokic drawing attention, there's less pressure on Murray to shoulder the scoring load. Plus, in his last three games, he's managed to stay under this line, hitting the mark just once against the Timberwolves at home. With an expected stat value of 22.04 and a solid home hit rate of 5/5, taking the under feels like a savvy play. Don't let his star power fool you-ton

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Pick History & Track Record

Jamal Murray — 2024-25 season averages

Over 79 games in the 2024-25 season, Jamal Murray averaged 21.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists in 37.0 minutes per game, shooting 46.9% from the field and 39.0% from three-point range.

21.6
PPG
4.1
RPG
5.9
APG
1.3
SPG
0.5
BPG
37.0
MPG
46.9%
FG%
39.0%
3P%

Jamal Murray — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jamal Murray has played 41.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

41.2
MPG (L5)
21.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jamal Murray — points hit rate

Jamal Murray has scored over 15.5 points in 53% of 401 career games.

o11.570%
o12.567%
o15.553%
o20.531%
o25.515%

Jamal Murray — home vs away scoring

At home Jamal Murray averages 21.2 points per game; on the road, 21.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

21.2
PPG at home
21.9
PPG on the road

Jamal Murray — scoring by opponent

Jamal Murray scores most against the PHX, averaging 24.6 points per game in that matchup.

24.6
PHX
24.4
UTAH
23.5
LAL
22.9
BOS
21.5
CLE
21.3
WSH

Jamal Murray — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jamal Murray has averaged 22.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ OKC422843
11 Mayvs OKC411745
9 Mayvs OKC482748
7 May@ OKC311441
5 May@ OKC442166
3 Mayvs LAC421652
1 May@ LAC442188
29 Aprvs LAC404357
26 Apr@ LAC421377
24 Apr@ LAC362304
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points 32.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts 39.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 37.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jamal Murray is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jamal Murray is Under 32.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +45.1% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Monday 20 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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