Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Under 26.5 Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Nuggets gear up to face the Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Jamal Murray, but here's the twist: we're looking at him to fall under 26.5 points. Sure, he's been hot lately, averaging 23.6 points over his last five games, but a closer look reveals a pattern that favors the under. At home, that average dips to 22.4, and while he's had some impressive outings against Minnesota, his recent performances suggest a cooling off. In fact, against this opponent, he's averaged 24.6 points at home, not quite enough to feel secure at 26.5. Plus, if you consider that he's hit the under in his last three games-and four straight at home-the signs are pointing towards a more subdued scoring night. With the pressure of the postseason ramping up, expect him to distribute the ball more than score. This makes the under an intriguing play.