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Christian Braun

Denver Nuggets

Value call

Christian Braun (Denver Nuggets) has one live pick today: over 11.5 points that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
14.9 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.9% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +21.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 5:00 PM ET
Christian Braun
over 11.5 points
Points Over 11.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80 Odds-102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Christian Braun is Over 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:08AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points71.9%—50.5%1.39+21.4%

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AI Analysis

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Christian Braun (Denver Nuggets) Over 11.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In this upcoming showdown between the Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers, Christian Braun stands out as a prime candidate to surpass 11.5 points. The Nuggets' home court has been a fortress for Braun, where he's averaging a robust 14.8 points over his last five games. Facing the Trail Blazers, who have struggled defensively, he's historically found his rhythm, posting 15.6 points against them recently. With a hit rate of 12 out of 18 at home, Braun's scoring prowess shines, especially as he's been hot lately, averaging 16.4 points across his last five outings. The Nuggets will lean on him to step up, especially playing on familiar turf. Given that the expected stat value is a solid 14.86, taking the over on Braun's points feels like a savvy play. The stars are aligning for him to light up the scoreboard this Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Christian Braun — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Christian Braun averaged 14.9 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 34.6 minutes per game, shooting 56.1% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

14.9
PPG
5.3
RPG
2.5
APG
1.1
SPG
0.5
BPG
34.6
MPG
56.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Christian Braun — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Christian Braun has played 39.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

39.2
MPG (L5)
9.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Christian Braun — home vs away scoring

At home Christian Braun averages 15.4 points per game; on the road, 14.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.4
PPG at home
14.4
PPG on the road

Christian Braun — scoring by opponent

Christian Braun scores most against the MEM, averaging 12.0 points per game in that matchup.

12.0
MEM
11.8
SAC
11.5
UTAH
10.9
OKC
10.5
NO
9.7
POR

Christian Braun — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Christian Braun has averaged 11.9 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ OKC43873
11 Mayvs OKC441742
9 Mayvs OKC43871
7 May@ OKC26320
5 May@ OKC4011133
3 Mayvs LAC382154
1 May@ LAC401431
29 Aprvs LAC3711123
26 Apr@ LAC431775
24 Apr@ LAC38961
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Points 11.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +215 ✓ HIT
18 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Rebs + Asts 19.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
14 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
12 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Christian Braun (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Christian Braun is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets on Sunday 22 March at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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