As the Chicago Bulls gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, targeting Guerschon Yabusele for Under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Despite a decent overall average of 1.6 threes in his last five outings, Yabusele's home performances tell a different story-he's hit just 1.5 threes against the Suns at the United Center, a trend that suggests he tends to struggle against this specific matchup. Even more telling is his average of just 2.2 threes at home, which dips when facing tougher defenses like Phoenix. With the Suns bringing a solid perimeter defense, Yabusele might find those shots harder to come by. Given his recent hit rate of 66% over the last three games, it's certainly possible, but the numbers lean towards him falling short in this matchup. Taking the Under seems to align perfectly with the trends at play.
Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-278)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Phoenix Suns gear up to take on the Chicago Bulls, all eyes should be on Dillon Brooks as he looks to surpass that 16.5 points and rebounds mark. Despite averaging just 14.6 points and 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, Brooks has shown a knack for stepping up in away matchups, hitting the over in 15 of his last 20 games on the road. His average of 14.5 points against Chicago when playing away indicates he thrives against this opponent. With an expected stat value of nearly 25, the numbers strongly suggest he's due for a breakout. The Bulls' defense can be inconsistent, which bodes well for Brooks to exploit any gaps. With a solid implied probability of 73.5%, it seems like a prime opportunity to back him for the over on his points and rebounds. He's poised to deliver when it counts.
Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-417)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Suns head to Chicago, all eyes will be on Mark Williams to see if he can keep pace on the boards against a Bulls team that has shown its strength in the paint. However, the numbers suggest a different story. While Williams has been a rebounding machine, averaging 7.8 boards away this season, his recent performance against the Bulls paints a more cautious picture. In their last five matchups, he's averaged just 6.6 rebounds overall, and notably, when away, he's only hit the 10.5 mark against them once, with an average of 11.7 in those specific contests.Given his current form and the Bulls' defensive schemes, which tend to limit second-chance opportunities, going under 10.5 rebounds seems like a smart bet. With a hit rate of 100% in his last nine games, it's clear he's not hitting that over consistently. Trust the data; this one leans towards the under.
Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-152)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingWhen the Chicago Bulls take the court against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Tre Jones, specifically for an under on his rebounds at 4.5. While he's been solid overall, his recent home performances tell a different story-averaging just 3.6 rebounds in his last five games at home and only 2 against the Suns when they visit Chicago. Despite a respectable overall rebound average of 4.6, Jones has shown a tendency to fall short in key matchups, particularly against this Phoenix squad. His last three games have seen him hit the under consistently, and remarkably, he's only surpassed 4.5 rebounds in three of his last 20 home outings. With an expected stat value of just 3.2, it seems likely we'll see him struggle to hit that mark again. Bet the under and watch the numbers tell the story as the game unfolds.