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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dillon Brooks is Over 14.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +21.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Dillon Brooks

Phoenix Suns

+21.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 14.5 -147 (1.68)
+21.4% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
80.9%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+21.4%
Predicted Value
19.6 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points80.9%—59.5%1.24+21.4%

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AI Analysis

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Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 14.5 Points (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on Dillon Brooks, especially with his points prop set at 14.5. Brooks has been a consistent scorer lately, averaging 16.6 points over his last five outings and a solid 18.8 against this Thunder squad. Sure, he's had a dip when playing away, but his exceptional ability to rise to the occasion against specific teams suggests he'll break through that 14.5 barrier tonight. Consider this: he's hitting the over in 12 of his last 19 games, and astonishingly, he's done it in all 20 of his most recent away matches. The Suns need every bit of offensive firepower they can muster, and Brooks seems primed to deliver. With an expected stat value of nearly 20 points, betting on the over feels like a savvy move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.9avg · last 10
L511.8Szn13.9Home14.1Away13.6Best37
4+96%
9+77%
14+49%
19+23%
24+10%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13.9 · hi 24 · lo 3
21248111613112438

Dillon Brooks is averaging 13.9 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.9, best 37). He clears 14+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
16.7avg · last 10
L515.0Szn17.5Home17.7Away17.3Best40
8+90%
13+72%
18+54%
23+26%
28+9%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 16.7 · hi 27 · lo 4
232791419191725410

Dillon Brooks is averaging 16.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.5, best 40). He clears 18+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points 14.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over +136 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dillon Brooks is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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