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The latest Bet Better model pick for Collin Sexton is Under 29.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 51%, edge +40.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 9:42PM UTC
NBA

Collin Sexton

Chicago Bulls

+40.8% Edge
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 29.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+40.8% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
19.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.9% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +40.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts91.9%—51.0%1.09+40.8%

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AI Analysis

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Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) Under 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Bulls gear up to face the Wizards on Tuesday night, targeting Collin Sexton for under 29.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like a savvy play. His recent performances reveal a downward trend in production-averaging just 20.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.2 assists over his last five outings. Even when on the road, his stats dip slightly, with averages of 20.6 points and just 2.0 rebounds. Against the Wizards, Sexton hasn't been particularly explosive either, posting an average of 17.6 points in their last five matchups and slightly underwhelming with 2.5 rebounds in away games. With a total expected stat value of just 19.01, we're looking at a solid edge here, especially considering his consistent underperformance on the road. With the odds favoring the under, this bet seems ripe for the picking.

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Pick History & Track Record

Collin Sexton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 63 games in the 2024-25 season, Collin Sexton averaged 18.4 points, 2.7 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 28.0 minutes per game, shooting 48.0% from the field and 40.6% from three-point range.

18.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
4.2
APG
0.7
SPG
0.1
BPG
28.0
MPG
48.0%
FG%
40.6%
3P%

Collin Sexton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Collin Sexton has played 27.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.4
MPG (L5)
21.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Collin Sexton — points hit rate

Collin Sexton has scored over 20.5 points in 46% of 229 career games.

o11.587%
o12.583%
o15.571%
o20.546%
o25.523%

Collin Sexton — home vs away scoring

At home Collin Sexton averages 16.7 points per game; on the road, 19.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

16.7
PPG at home
19.9
PPG on the road

Collin Sexton — scoring by opponent

Collin Sexton scores most against the OKC, averaging 22.3 points per game in that matchup.

22.3
OKC
22.2
DET
21.6
WSH
21.5
BOS
21.5
GS
21.2
SA

Collin Sexton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Collin Sexton has averaged 20.1 points, 1.8 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
9 Aprvs POR201505
6 Apr@ ATL372756
4 Apr@ IND332733
2 Apr@ HOU241804
28 Mar@ DEN232012
27 Marvs HOU322115
25 Marvs MEM181535
23 Marvs CLE261002
21 Marvs BOS363023
19 Marvs WSH191835
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Collin Sexton is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Collin Sexton is Under 29.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +40.8% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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