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NBA

Collin Sexton

Los Angeles Lakers

Value call

Collin Sexton (Los Angeles Lakers) has one live pick today: over 7.5 points that pays $143 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
13.3 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.4% · before adjusting for past results 90.2% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap -19.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 PM ET
Collin Sexton
over 7.5 points
Points Over 7.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.30 Odds-233
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Collin Sexton is Over 7.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:22AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points90.2%50.4%69.9%1.98+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers: Collin Sexton Over 7.5 Points (-233)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Lakers have been letting opponents shoot plenty of three-pointers, which might open up chances for Collin Sexton to score. With the Lakers allowing over 35 threes a game, Sexton could find some good looks from beyond the arc. Plus, the Lakers' defense has been giving up a decent number of rebounds, which can lead to more second-chance points for him. Betting on Sexton to score over 7.5 points feels like a solid choice because he's likely to get opportunities. The risk here is that the Lakers can also put up points, making it a high-pressure game. But with how the Lakers play, this could work out well for Sexton.

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Pick History & Track Record

Collin Sexton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 63 games in the 2024-25 season, Collin Sexton averaged 18.4 points, 2.7 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 28.0 minutes per game, shooting 48.0% from the field and 40.6% from three-point range.

18.4
PPG
2.7
RPG
4.2
APG
0.7
SPG
0.1
BPG
28.0
MPG
48.0%
FG%
40.6%
3P%

Collin Sexton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Collin Sexton has played 27.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.4
MPG (L5)
21.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Collin Sexton — points hit rate

Collin Sexton has scored over 20.5 points in 46% of 229 career games.

o11.587%
o12.583%
o15.571%
o20.546%
o25.523%

Collin Sexton — home vs away scoring

At home Collin Sexton averages 16.7 points per game; on the road, 19.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

16.7
PPG at home
19.9
PPG on the road

Collin Sexton — scoring by opponent

Collin Sexton scores most against the OKC, averaging 22.3 points per game in that matchup.

22.3
OKC
22.2
DET
21.6
WSH
21.5
BOS
21.5
GS
21.2
SA

Collin Sexton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Collin Sexton has averaged 20.1 points, 1.8 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
9 Aprvs POR201505
6 Apr@ ATL372756
4 Apr@ IND332733
2 Apr@ HOU241804
28 Mar@ DEN232012
27 Marvs HOU322115
25 Marvs MEM181535
23 Marvs CLE261002
21 Marvs BOS363023
19 Marvs WSH191835
Quick answers:How many assists does Collin Sexton average?How many points does Collin Sexton average?How many three-pointers does Collin Sexton average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Oct 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 7.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts 30.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts 29.5 Under -104 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Collin Sexton (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Collin Sexton is Over 7.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday 27 October at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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