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Collin Sexton

Chicago Bulls

+34.4% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 28.5 -111 (1.90)
+34.4% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls
United Center, Chicago
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
87.1%
Implied Probability
52.6%
Model Edge
+34.4%
Predicted Value
20.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Bulls host the Suns this Sunday, all eyes will be on Collin Sexton, but I see value in backing the under on his points, rebounds, and assists combined at 28.5. Despite a solid recent stretch, Sexton's averages at home tell a different story: just 17.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 3 assists over his last five games in Chicago. Against the Suns, he's only managed 12 points at home, and his overall production dips significantly when facing this defense. Interestingly, while he's hit the over in three of his last three games, his home performance shows a hit rate of 18 out of 19 games landing under this number. With the Suns boasting a strong defensive unit, it's hard to see Sexton surpassing that 28.5 mark. Trust the trends and look for him to fall short in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 50.0% (3/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 28.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Asts 30.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Points Pending
01 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls Rebs + Asts Pending
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (3/6). Collin Sexton is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Collin Sexton is Under 28.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +34.4% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls on Sunday 5 April at United Center, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.