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Model picks & player props
MLB
Fenway Park, Boston
Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Los Angeles Angels
VS
Boston Red Sox

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 62 markets for Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox and backs Boston Red Sox -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $249.

20
Game markets graded
42
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Boston Red Sox
to win by 2+ runs
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$24.90Best price+149
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.3%
The price says46.7%

The model graded 62 markets for Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $249 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 9 Sep 2026, 6:46 PM ET at Fenway Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5 Lean47% chance +149
Total Runs Members only High73% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean46% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean53% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 4 props Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - Hits × 13 props Highup to 68% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 7 props Highup to 67% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 2 props Long-shotup to 25% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Long-shotup to 9% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 18% Members
Batter - RBIs × 1 prop Leanup to 44% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 4 props Leanup to 53% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 7 props Long-shotup to 23% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox last met on Wed 9 Sep 2026: Los Angeles Angels won 6-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Boston Red Sox
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 42 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles AngelsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Angels

  • Ben Joyce RPOut
  • George Klassen SPOut
  • Nolan Schanuel 1BOut
  • Kyren Paris 2BOut
  • Samy Natera Jr. RPOut
  • Yoan Moncada 3BOut
  • Gustavo Campero OFOut
  • Jack Kochanowicz SPOut
  • Robert Stephenson RPOut
  • Anthony Rendon 3BOut

Boston Red Sox

  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Mickey Gasper DHOut
  • Romy Gonzalez DHDay-to-day
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Eli White CFOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
Availability updated Oct 10, 1:08AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Vaughn Grissom Batter - Walks
Isiah Kiner-Falefa TEX Batter - Walks
Wilyer Abreu BOS Batter - Hits
Mike Trout LAA Batter - Hits
Trevor Story COL Batter - Total Bases

+ 42 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBoston Red SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L51-4

Boston Red Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineBoston Red Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L51-4

Boston Red Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles AngelsNo line posted

Boston Red Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted
4.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Angels L51-4

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 62 betting markets for Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox — 20 on the game itself and 42 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
42
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 62 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 61 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox — recent results

Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Angels have won 2 of their last 5.

Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
L0–9NYYAway
L2–6CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
Los Angeles Angels — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–8SEAAway
L3–7SEAAway
W7–5SEAAway
W6–4SEAAway
L3–7ATHAway

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Boston Red Sox are scoring 3.0 runs per game (4-1) while Los Angeles Angels are at 1.2 (1-4); Boston Red Sox pitchers are allowing 0.2 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Los Angeles Angels.

3.0
Boston Red Sox runs/G
1.2
Los Angeles Angels runs/G
Last 5 gamesBoston Red SoxLos Angeles Angels
Runs / game3.01.2
Hits / game3.22.8
Home runs / game0.80.2
Walks drawn / game1.40.6
Batter K / game1.83.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.20.8
Pitching K / game2.62.2
Walks allowed / game0.81.2
L5 record4-11-4

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Boston Red Sox won 4, Los Angeles Angels won 2.

DateBoston Red SoxLos Angeles AngelsWinner
Sep 946Los Angeles Angels
Sep 816Los Angeles Angels
Sep 752Boston Red Sox
Jul 675Boston Red Sox
Jul 581Boston Red Sox
Jul 452Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Tyron Guerrero RPOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Mickey Gasper DHOUT
Romy Gonzalez DHDAY-TO-DAY
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Eli White CFOUT
Los Angeles Angels
PlayerStatus
Ben Joyce RPOUT
George Klassen SPOUT
Nolan Schanuel 1BOUT
Kyren Paris 2BOUT
Samy Natera Jr. RPOUT
Yoan Moncada 3BOUT
Gustavo Campero OFOUT
Jack Kochanowicz SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox — model preview

Our Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox prediction for September 10, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 10, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Walks (-357), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Angels vs Sox, or as Sox vs Angels. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 9 September 2026 at Fenway Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 42 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
Even at 13–13 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 9.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 9 Sep 2026, Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox: the Angels won 6-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
9 Sep 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox4–6Los Angeles Angels
8 Sep 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox1–6Los Angeles Angels
7 Sep 2026Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox5–2Boston Red Sox
6 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels5–7Boston Red Sox
5 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels5–7Boston Red Sox
4 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels2–5Boston Red Sox
3 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels2–5Boston Red Sox
25 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels5–2Los Angeles Angels
24 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels3–2Los Angeles Angels
23 Jun 2025Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels9–5Los Angeles Angels

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

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