Zak Jones (St Kilda) Under 17.5 Disposals (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Zak Jones is poised to fall below 17.5 disposals against the GWS Giants due to his recent away game trends. With a model prediction of 14.8, Jones averages 14.4 disposals away, lower than the line. His current form shows consistency with 5 hits in the last 6 away games. The model's 17.5% edge strengthens the argument against Jones reaching the disposal line. Despite his overall 3-hit streak, his recent performances against the upcoming opponent and in away games suggest he might struggle to meet the line. With a solid L5 average of 14.4 disposals away and an inconsistent trend against the Giants, betting on Jones to stay under 17.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity.