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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:27PM UTC
AFL

Jack Higgins

St Kilda

+3.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+3.4% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
90.3%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value
1.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.3%87.0%1.11+3.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Higgins (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Higgins is a man on a mission, primed to light up the scoreboard when the St Kilda Saints face the Geelong Cats away at GMHBA Stadium. Over his last five away games, Higgins has been a scoring machine, averaging an impressive 2 goals per game. With his precise boot and sharp footballing IQ, Higgins has shown remarkable accuracy, hitting the target with a 46.0% success rate. He's not just a goal-snagging specialist; he's also heavily involved in setting up plays, averaging 5.6 score involvements per game. Against the Cats, he's maintained a solid average of 1.2 goals in their recent matchups. Riding a hot streak with six consecutive hits on goal, Higgins is poised to split the middle and bag at least one goal in this showdown. Bet on Higgins to deliver over 0.5 goals; he's a proven sharpshooter ready to make his mark on the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.8avg goals recent
Season best5
Goals last 10avg 1.8 · hi 5 · lo 0
5130120132

Jack Higgins has a goals high of 5 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jack Higgins (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 16 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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