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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +4.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 10:04PM UTC
AFL

Jack Higgins

St Kilda

+4.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+4.8% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
90.3%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+4.8%
Predicted Value
1.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.3%—85.5%1.11+4.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Jack Higgins (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the AFL, you want someone in form, hungry for the big sticks. Look no further than Jack Higgins of the St Kilda Saints. Higgins has been lighting it up recently, with an average of 2.2 goals per game over his last five home matches. Facing off against Carlton, a team he's averaged 1.3 goals against in his last five meetings, Higgins knows how to split the middle against them. With a stellar goal accuracy of 53.3% overall and a solid track record of 4 consecutive games with goals, Higgins is primed to continue his scoring streak. The data paints a clear picture: Jack Higgins is a reliable goal-kicker, making the Over 0.5 goals market a tantalizing bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
60%hit L10 O 1.5
1.8avg goals L5
Home2.2vs Carlton1.6Season best5
O 0.590%
O 1.560%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 1.8 · hi 5 · lo 0
5130120132

Jack Higgins has gone over 1.5 goals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 5).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jack Higgins (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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