Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mark Blicavs is a solid choice to surpass 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model predicting 15.2 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Blicavs has been consistent, averaging 17.6 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form includes strong contested possessions (9.2 avg) and efficient disposal (75.0% avg). Facing Brisbane, he has maintained a high average of 16 disposals. Blicavs' current hit streak of 12 at home and 2 overall, with a hit rate of 12/13, further support this bet. The data suggests he is likely to continue his reliable performance, making the Over 9.5 disposals a favorable wager.