Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:17PM UTC
AFL

Zac Williams

Carlton

Value call

Zac Williams (Carlton) has one live pick today: Goals Over 0.5 that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 9 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 15°C (Aug 2022). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.9% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +6.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals72.9%—66.7%1.37+6.3%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Zac Williams (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Zac Williams is a strong pick to score anytime against Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 4 goals, Williams has shown a knack for finding the big sticks. His solid goal accuracy of 50.0% and consistent shot opportunities (2.4 shots at goal per game) further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his high score involvements (6.2 per game) and ability to impact the game inside 50 with an average of 3.6 inside 50s make him a crucial offensive threat. With the model predicting he will score at least one goal and showing a significant edge, backing Williams to snag a goal looks like a smart play.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Zac Williams averaged 12.8 disposals, 0.8 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

12.8
Disposals
0.8
Goals
3.7
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Zac Williams recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions11021
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles10125
11 Aug 24Hawthorn16091
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs2010
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS8324
30 Jun 24Richmond9132
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats11044
9 Jun 24Essendon12242
30 May 24Port Adelaide12352
25 May 24Gold Coast SUNS15450
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Zac Williams (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.