Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +6.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:18PM UTC
AFL
Zac Williams
Carlton
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-200 (1.50)
+6.3% Edge
Gold Coast Suns
@
Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 9 Aug, 9:35AM
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Implied Probability
66.7%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Goals | 72.9% | — | 66.7% | 1.37 | +6.3% |
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Zac Williams (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-200)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Zac Williams is a strong pick to score anytime against Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and facing an opponent against whom he averages 4 goals, Williams has shown a knack for finding the big sticks. His solid goal accuracy of 50.0% and consistent shot opportunities (2.4 shots at goal per game) further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his high score involvements (6.2 per game) and ability to impact the game inside 50 with an average of 3.6 inside 50s make him a crucial offensive threat. With the model predicting he will score at least one goal and showing a significant edge, backing Williams to snag a goal looks like a smart play.
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Betting angles
Markets & formGoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.4avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.4 · hi 4 · lo 0
Zac Williams has a goals high of 4 in AFL.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Zac Williams (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Williams is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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