Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier O'Halloran is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +7.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC
AFL

Xavier O'Halloran

GWS GIANTS

+7.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -167 (1.60)
+7.8% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 17 Apr, 9:50AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+7.8%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%—62.5%1.42+7.8%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Xavier O'Halloran (GWS GIANTS) Over 15.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Xavier O'Halloran is gearing up to make a statement in the upcoming clash against the Sydney Swans. His recent form on the road has been nothing short of impressive, averaging 14.8 disposals per game. Over his last five away matches, Xavier has been a midfield maestro, showcasing his ability to find the footy with an average of 9 kicks and 5.8 handballs. With a solid disposal efficiency of 69.3%, he's been making every possession count. Against the Swans specifically, Xavier has been even more prolific, averaging 12 disposals per game. Riding a hot streak with 3 consecutive hits, Xavier is poised to exceed the 15.5 disposal line comfortably. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and impacting the game significantly.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
50%hit L10 O 16.5
16.2avg disposals L5
Away14.4vs Essendon15.3Season best16
O 14.570%
O 15.560%
O 16.550%
O 17.540%
Game log vs line (O 16.5)avg 10 · hi 15 · lo 6
151391412678610

Xavier O'Halloran has gone over 16.5 disposals in 5 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 16.2 disposals, best 16).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals 15.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals 13.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
27 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Xavier O'Halloran (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier O'Halloran is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.8% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans on Friday 17 April at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks