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AFL

Xavier Duursma

Essendon

+1.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.9% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 13 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
87.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.9%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Xavier Duursma (Essendon) Over 12.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want reliability and impact. Xavier Duursma of the Essendon Bombers embodies both. His recent form at home is nothing short of stellar, averaging 19.8 disposals over the last five games with a solid 76.5% disposal efficiency. Facing the Hawthorn Hawks, against whom he's averaged 14.5 disposals over the same period, Duursma is poised to shine. His consistent performance, coupled with his ability to find space and create opportunities, makes him a prime candidate to surpass the 12.5 disposal line. Duursma's current hot streak and overall reliability make betting on him to hit the over a smart move for this matchup at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 70.0% (35/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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