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AFL

Willie Rioli

Port Adelaide

+15.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -217 (1.46)
+15.7% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 9 Aug, 10:10AM
Model Probability
84.2%
Implied Probability
68.5%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Willie Rioli (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Willie Rioli is a strong bet to score anytime based on his consistent recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 home games and a solid goal accuracy of 50%, Rioli is likely to capitalize on his opportunities. His involvement in the attacking plays, averaging 4 score involvements per game, coupled with an average of 1.8 shots at goal, shows his active role in creating scoring chances. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 1 goal per game in their recent matchups, Rioli's goal-scoring potential is further boosted. With his recent goal-scoring streak and solid performance metrics, backing Rioli to snag a goal in this matchup presents a favorable betting opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Willie Rioli (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Willie Rioli is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 9 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.