Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyson Stengle is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +13.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:47AM UTC
AFL

Tyson Stengle

Geelong Cats

+13.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -476 (1.21)
+13.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.5%
Implied Probability
82.6%
Model Edge
+13.8%
Predicted Value
1.9 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals96.5%—82.6%1.04+13.8%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tyson Stengle is a strong candidate to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five home games, he has showcased consistent scoring ability. His average of 3.4 shots at goal and 41.3% goal accuracy indicate he's actively involved in attacking plays and is likely to convert his opportunities. Additionally, facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he averages 0.8 goals in his last five matchups, further supports his scoring potential. Stengle's impressive 13.8% edge based on the model's prediction suggests a high probability of him snagging a goal in this game at the MCG.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
12.9avg disposals recent
Season best20
Disposals last 10avg 12.9 · hi 20 · lo 7
1416121120710151311

Tyson Stengle has a disposals high of 20 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 4 · lo 0
0213102240

Tyson Stengle has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Tyson Stengle (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyson Stengle is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.