Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Travis Boak, with a solid L5 average of 19.4 disposals in away games, faces the Adelaide Crows, a team he historically averages 17 disposals against. Boak has shown consistency with a high disposal rate, especially away from home. His L5 performance indicates strong contested possessions and efficient disposals, key factors for surpassing 14.5 disposals. Boak's recent form, hitting a streak of 4/4 in away games and 6/6 overall, further supports this bet. With a model predicting him to reach 20.3 disposals and a small edge of 2.0%, the Over on Boak's disposals is a favorable choice for this AFL matchup at Adelaide Oval.