Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Travis Boak is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 1:34AM UTC
AFL

Travis Boak

Port Adelaide

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+2.0% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
20.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.4%—85.5%1.14+2.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Travis Boak's recent form, averaging 19.4 disposals in his last five away games, coupled with his strong history against Adelaide, averaging 17 disposals in their matchups, make him a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals. Boak's consistency is highlighted by his current hit streak of 4 away games and 6 overall, showcasing his reliability in meeting or exceeding this line. Additionally, his balanced play style with an average of 9.8 kicks and 9.6 handballs indicates his involvement across the field, while his 67.0% disposal efficiency minimizes turnovers. With a model predicting him to reach 20.3 disposals and a positive edge of 2.0%, the Over on Boak's disposals is a statistically supported wager for this contest.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Travis Boak averaged 18.2 disposals, 0.2 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

18.2
Disposals
0.2
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Travis Boak recorded 22 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans22162
13 Sep 24Hawthorn13044
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats20011
25 Aug 24Fremantle18012
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11111
10 Aug 24Melbourne29093
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans12132
26 Jul 24Carlton22061
20 Jul 24Richmond24144
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS25194
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Travis Boak is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 26 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.