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The latest Bet Better model pick for Travis Boak is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Travis Boak

Port Adelaide

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+2.0% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul, 10:10AM
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Model Probability
87.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
20.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.4%—85.5%1.14+2.0%

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AI Analysis

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Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Travis Boak's recent form, averaging 19.4 disposals in his last five away games, coupled with his strong history against Adelaide, averaging 17 disposals in their matchups, make him a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals. Boak's consistency is highlighted by his current hit streak of 4 away games and 6 overall, showcasing his reliability in meeting or exceeding this line. Additionally, his balanced play style with an average of 9.8 kicks and 9.6 handballs indicates his involvement across the field, while his 67.0% disposal efficiency minimizes turnovers. With a model predicting him to reach 20.3 disposals and a positive edge of 2.0%, the Over on Boak's disposals is a statistically supported wager for this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
19.6avg disposals recent
Season best29
Disposals last 10avg 19.6 · hi 29 · lo 11
25242212291118201322

Travis Boak has a disposals high of 29 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Travis Boak is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 26 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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