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AFL

Tom Stewart

Geelong Cats

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -123 (1.81)
+2.0% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 6 Mar, 9:05AM
Model Probability
57.3%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom Stewart (Geelong Cats) Under 21.5 Disposals (-123)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in a player prop bet, you want a sure thing. Tom Stewart, the defensive linchpin for the Geelong Cats, might not be the flashiest player on the field, but his consistency is as reliable as a metronome. Looking at his recent form, Stewart has been averaging around 22.6 disposals per game when playing away, a hair above the line set at 21.5. However, facing the Gold Coast Suns, who he's historically averaged 24.3 disposals against, might seem like a green light to bet the over. But here's the twist – the Suns have been tightening up their defense. With Stewart's disposal efficiency at 92.0%, expect him to be more selective in his touches, potentially falling just short of that 21.5 line. Betting the under on Stewart's disposals could be the savvy move here, backed by his recent form and the evolving dynamics of this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (17 picks) 47.1% (8/17)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 22.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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