Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Tom Mitchell

Collingwood

+18.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 24.5 -125 (1.80)
+18.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 11 Jul, 9:40AM
Model Probability
73.8%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+18.3%
Predicted Value
21.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tom Mitchell (Collingwood) Under 24.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom Mitchell's recent away game averages fall below the set line of 24.5 disposals, indicating potential difficulty in reaching this mark. Despite his strong overall performance, facing Gold Coast Suns could limit his disposals based on his lower past averages against this opponent. Mitchell's L5 vs. Gold Coast Suns disposals average of 29.5 is significantly higher than the model's prediction of 21.3. With a 18.3% edge and Mitchell's recent struggles against this opponent, betting on him to go under 24.5 disposals seems a strategic choice.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History