SYSTEM STATUS: Online SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) TREND: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season WIN: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +323) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1118.8 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.3% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +421.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +118) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers @ +566) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners @ +430) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1.5 @ +164) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2.5 @ +129) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1 @ +525) RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 2 @ +220) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: AFL Value hitting 79.9% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +547.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1155.9 units this season RESULT: WON: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 @ +270) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (Seattle Mariners 1 @ +290) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days
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AFL

Todd Marshall

Port Adelaide

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -149 (1.67)
+15.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Todd Marshall (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Goals (-149)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Todd Marshall's recent form, the numbers paint a compelling picture for betting on him to snag over 0.5 goals in the upcoming clash against Hawthorn. Despite a modest average of 0.2 goals in his last five games, Marshall has shown consistency in getting shots on goal, with an average of 1.8 shots per game. His goal accuracy may be at 5.0%, but with an upward trend against Hawthorn specifically, averaging 2 goals per game in their last five encounters, the odds are in his favor. Marshall's involvement in Port Adelaide's forward line is evident through his average of 1.2 marks inside 50 and 3.2 score involvements in away games. Although he's been slightly off target recently, his overall hit rate and the historical matchup trends suggest he's due for a breakout. With his ability to impact the scoreboard and the team's reliance on him, backing Marshall to kick through the big sticks is a smart play for this showdown at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Todd Marshall (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Todd Marshall is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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