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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 80%, edge +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 9, 6:52AM UTC
AFL

Tanner Bruhn

Geelong Cats

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+1.4% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.4% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks81.4%—80.0%1.23+1.4%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Tanner Bruhn Over 2.5 Marks (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Tanner Bruhn has been showing some solid form lately, making him a player to watch. He's been racking up marks more often than usual, and the numbers back this up, showing he's well above the typical mark rate. With Fremantle Dockers facing the Geelong Cats at Optus Stadium, I'm feeling confident about Bruhn hitting over 2.5 marks in this game. The Dockers will likely be under pressure from the Cats, which could mean plenty of chances for Bruhn to get his hands on the ball. The biggest risk here is that the teams are closely matched, so things could get tight. Still, with Bruhn's current performance, it looks like a good bet to take.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Tanner Bruhn's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 2.5

Tanner Bruhn's marks line is 2.5.

Kicks 9.5

Tanner Bruhn's kicks line is 9.5.

Disposals 15.5

Tanner Bruhn's disposals line is 15.5.

Disposals 14.5

Tanner Bruhn's disposals line is 14.5.

Disposals 17.5

Tanner Bruhn's disposals line is 17.5.

Disposals 16.5

Tanner Bruhn's disposals line is 16.5.

Season averages (2024)

Tanner Bruhn averaged 17.5 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

17.5
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.3
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Tanner Bruhn has cleared 12.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o12.590%
o13.580%
o15.570%
o17.560%
o19.580%
o21.560%
o23.550%
o24.550%
o26.530%
o28.510%
o30.50%
o32.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Tanner Bruhn is averaging 22.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

22.2
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Tanner Bruhn recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10024
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide18162
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles23055
10 Aug 24Fremantle4011
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows23126
27 Jul 24North Melbourne16033
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans13010
1 Jun 24Richmond26135
25 May 24GWS GIANTS21134
16 May 24Gold Coast SUNS11124
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Tackles 1.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 17.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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