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AFL

Tanner Bruhn

Geelong Cats

Value call

Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 17.5 disposals that pays $164 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
21.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.9% · before adjusting for past results 75.2% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Tanner Bruhn
over 17.5 disposals
Disposals Over 17.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.40 Odds-156
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:13PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.2%60.9%61.0%1.64+14.2%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Tanner Bruhn Over 17.5 Disposals (-156)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Tanner Bruhn has been impressive at GMHBA Stadium, often getting around 10 handballs in a game and covering plenty of ground. He's averaging nearly 260 metres gained over his last 10 games, and he spends a solid amount of time on the field, which is great for his chances to rack up disposals. Fremantle has been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 matches, but Geelong Cats have also shown they can score early, averaging 55.7 points before half-time. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it could come down to how well Bruhn performs in a tight game. Overall, we like him to get over 17.5 disposals today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Tanner Bruhn averaged 17.5 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

17.5
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.3
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Tanner Bruhn recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10024
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide18162
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles23055
10 Aug 24Fremantle4011
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows23126
27 Jul 24North Melbourne16033
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans13010
1 Jun 24Richmond26135
25 May 24GWS GIANTS21134
16 May 24Gold Coast SUNS11124
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 17.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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