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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:19PM UTC
AFL

Tanner Bruhn

Geelong Cats

Value call

Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: Kicks Over 9.5 that pays $132 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Kicks Over 9.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
Value call
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
13.0 Kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 66.8% · before adjusting for past results 79.7% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap -9.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks79.7%66.8%75.8%1.50+4.0%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Tanner Bruhn Over 9.5 Kicks (-312)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Tanner Bruhn has been showing great form lately, and Fremantle has won 7 of their last 10 games. They've been putting up some impressive scores, averaging nearly 45 points before half-time in their last 12 matches. That kind of scoring means Bruhn will likely be involved a lot and should have plenty of chances to rack up kicks. While Geelong Cats have also been good, they tend to have close games, and their average lead at quarter-time is just 4.1 points. This could make things tight, but we believe Bruhn can go over 9.5 kicks with the way he's been playing and how the teams match up. Just remember, even a strong pick can miss, but this one looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Tanner Bruhn averaged 17.5 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

17.5
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.3
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Tanner Bruhn recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10024
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide18162
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles23055
10 Aug 24Fremantle4011
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows23126
27 Jul 24North Melbourne16033
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans13010
1 Jun 24Richmond26135
25 May 24GWS GIANTS21134
16 May 24Gold Coast SUNS11124
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 2.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Bruhn is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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