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The latest Bet Better model pick for Shannon Neale is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 93%, implied 88%, edge +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 9:02PM UTC
AFL

Shannon Neale

Geelong Cats

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+4.3% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Mon 6 Apr, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.8% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +4.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.8%—88.5%1.08+4.3%

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AI Analysis

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Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL betting, sometimes the most reliable plays are right in front of us. Shannon Neale, the Geelong Cats' sharpshooter, is on an absolute tear lately, bagging an average of 3.6 goals in his last five away games. Facing off against the Hawthorn Hawks at the iconic MCG, Neale's keen eye for the big sticks is poised to make an impact. With an impressive shot accuracy of 73.0% and an average of 4.8 shots at goal per game, Neale's scoring prowess is hard to ignore. Add in his consistency with a current hit streak of 8 away games, and the Over 0.5 goals for Shannon Neale seems like a solid bet. When the pressure's on, count on Neale to split the middle and snag us a goal or two.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Shannon Neale averaged 9.1 disposals, 1.5 goals and 4.1 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

9.1
Disposals
1.5
Goals
4.1
Marks
2.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Shannon Neale recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions9040
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide9291
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles13252
17 Aug 24St Kilda10141
10 Aug 24Fremantle8221
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10163
27 Jul 24North Melbourne11114
12 Jul 24Collingwood5232
6 Jul 24Hawthorn12254
29 Jun 24Essendon8122
Quick answers:How many disposals does Shannon Neale average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Shannon Neale (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shannon Neale is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks on Monday 6 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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