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The latest Bet Better model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:20PM UTC
AFL

Scott Pendlebury

Collingwood

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -303 (1.33)
+0.3% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.5%—75.2%1.32+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfield maestros, Scott Pendlebury stands tall like a seasoned oak in the heart of the Collingwood Magpies' engine room. The stats paint a vivid picture of his influence - over his last five home games, Pendlebury has been a beacon of consistency, averaging a solid 21.2 disposals with a keen eye for finding his teammates with 73.7% efficiency. Facing off against Carlton, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 22.4 disposals in their recent encounters, Pendlebury is poised to orchestrate another masterclass at the MCG. With his recent form and the Magpies needing him to lead the charge, backing Pendlebury to surpass 20.5 disposals is a calculated move that seems as solid as one of his pinpoint passes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.2avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 20.2 · hi 27 · lo 14
23182414192227181423

Scott Pendlebury has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 19.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 18.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
10 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
10 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 18 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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