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The latest Bet Better model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 69%, edge +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:16AM UTC
AFL

Scott Pendlebury

Collingwood

+6.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -222 (1.45) · $100→$145
+6.5% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 23 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
23.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.5% · the book's price implies 69.0% · gap +6.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.5%—69.0%1.32+6.5%

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AI Analysis

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Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistent midfield excellence, Scott Pendlebury stands out like a beacon in the AFL landscape. The Collingwood Magpies maestro has been a model of reliability, averaging a stellar 30.6 disposals over his last five away games. His ability to find space and orchestrate play is second to none, evidenced by his impressive 81.1% disposal efficiency in those matches. Facing the Adelaide Crows, Pendlebury has historically raised his game, averaging 24.2 disposals against them in his recent matchups. With a current hit streak of 8 in away games, Pendlebury is in the form of his life, consistently hitting the mark. Bet on Pendlebury to surpass the 20.5 disposal line with ease, as he looks to weave his magic once again at the Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Scott Pendlebury averaged 20.7 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.1 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

20.7
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.1
Marks
4.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Scott Pendlebury recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne23081
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions14017
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans18037
3 Aug 24Carlton27016
28 Jul 24Richmond22131
20 Jul 24Hawthorn19016
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats14012
5 Jul 24Essendon24176
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS18134
24 May 24Fremantle23011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 20.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 23 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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