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The latest Bet Better model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:24PM UTC
AFL

Scott Pendlebury

Collingwood

+6.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -222 (1.45) · $100→$145
+6.5% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 23 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+6.5%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.5%—69.0%1.32+6.5%

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AI Analysis

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Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) Over 20.5 Disposals (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistent midfield excellence, Scott Pendlebury stands out like a beacon in the AFL landscape. The Collingwood Magpies maestro has been a model of reliability, averaging a stellar 30.6 disposals over his last five away games. His ability to find space and orchestrate play is second to none, evidenced by his impressive 81.1% disposal efficiency in those matches. Facing the Adelaide Crows, Pendlebury has historically raised his game, averaging 24.2 disposals against them in his recent matchups. With a current hit streak of 8 in away games, Pendlebury is in the form of his life, consistently hitting the mark. Bet on Pendlebury to surpass the 20.5 disposal line with ease, as he looks to weave his magic once again at the Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.2avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 20.2 · hi 27 · lo 14
23182414192227181423

Scott Pendlebury has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 20.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 18.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Scott Pendlebury is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 23 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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