Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Sam De Koning

Geelong Cats

Value call

Sam De Koning (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
13.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.8% · before adjusting for past results 74.9% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Sam De Koning
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam De Koning is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:10PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.9%64.8%61.3%1.54+13.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Sam De Koning Over 10.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam De Koning has been impressive lately, showing he can really rack up disposals. Our numbers suggest he's got a good chance to go over 10.5 disposals against Fremantle. He's been getting involved a lot, and with the way he's been playing, it feels like he'll find plenty of opportunities to touch the ball. One thing to keep an eye on is that the game could be closely contested, which might limit the chances for both teams. Still, with his recent form, it seems likely he'll get enough chances to surpass that mark. A bet like this can be a fun way to enjoy the game, so let's see how he goes!

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam De Koning averaged 14.6 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

14.6
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.4
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (3 Aug 24 vs Adelaide Crows), Sam De Koning recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows10030
27 Jul 24North Melbourne11040
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs20033
12 Jul 24Collingwood22031
6 Jul 24Hawthorn20246
29 Jun 24Essendon21031
21 Jun 24Carlton20125
9 Jun 24Sydney Swans10030
1 Jun 24Richmond12031
25 May 24GWS GIANTS17080
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Sam De Koning (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam De Koning is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.5% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.