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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Ryan Byrnes

St Kilda

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -286 (1.35)
+0.1% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
15.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%—74.1%1.35+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) Over 12.5 Disposals (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player for the Over in the disposals market, Ryan Byrnes is a prime pick for the upcoming clash between St Kilda and GWS. In his last 5 home games, Byrnes has been a consistent ball magnet, averaging 16 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the 12.5 line. His recent form against GWS has been even more impressive, averaging 23 disposals in their last 5 encounters. With solid numbers across contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained, Byrnes is poised to continue his strong performance. Add in his current hit rate streaks and high disposals efficiency, and the Over on Byrnes hitting 12.5 disposals looks like a solid bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.9avg disposals recent
Season best22
Disposals last 10avg 15.9 · hi 22 · lo 4
1420422171320191317

Ryan Byrnes has a disposals high of 22 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 12.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 11.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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