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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 74%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:28PM UTC
AFL

Ryan Byrnes

St Kilda

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -286 (1.35) · $100→$135
+0.1% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
15.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.2% · the book's price implies 74.1% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%—74.1%1.35+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) Over 12.5 Disposals (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player for the Over in the disposals market, Ryan Byrnes is a prime pick for the upcoming clash between St Kilda and GWS. In his last 5 home games, Byrnes has been a consistent ball magnet, averaging 16 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the 12.5 line. His recent form against GWS has been even more impressive, averaging 23 disposals in their last 5 encounters. With solid numbers across contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained, Byrnes is poised to continue his strong performance. Add in his current hit rate streaks and high disposals efficiency, and the Over on Byrnes hitting 12.5 disposals looks like a solid bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ryan Byrnes averaged 16.3 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

16.3
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.6
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Ryan Byrnes recorded 17 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton17160
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats13062
11 Aug 24Richmond19081
27 Jul 24Essendon20052
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles13010
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows17054
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans22073
4 May 24North Melbourne4012
26 Apr 24Port Adelaide20021
18 Apr 24Western Bulldogs14033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 12.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 11.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ryan Byrnes (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Byrnes is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 14 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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