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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rhyan Mansell is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 74%, edge +9.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:20AM UTC
AFL

Rhyan Mansell

Richmond

+9.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+9.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.7% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +9.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.7%73.5%1.21+9.2%

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AI Analysis

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Rhyan Mansell (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Rhyan Mansell is looking primed for action. In his last five away games, he's been a consistent threat, averaging 1.4 goals per game. With an impressive shot accuracy of 55.0% and an average of 3.2 shots at goal in those games, Mansell has been making his presence felt in the forward line. Facing the Western Bulldogs, who he hasn't scored against in their previous encounters, Mansell will be hungry to break that streak. His strong average of 4.6 score involvements and 2 marks inside 50 highlight his ability to impact the scoreboard. With Mansell's recent form and the likelihood of him getting opportunities in the attacking half, taking the Over 0.5 goals bet on him seems like a smart play for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Season averages (2024)

Rhyan Mansell averaged 10.5 disposals, 1.0 goals and 2.9 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

10.5
Disposals
1.0
Goals
2.9
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Rhyan Mansell recorded 7 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS7123
18 Aug 24Hawthorn12233
11 Aug 24St Kilda13053
3 Aug 24North Melbourne10122
28 Jul 24Collingwood8010
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide12371
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS10264
6 Jul 24Fremantle11135
30 Jun 24Carlton13124
15 Jun 24Hawthorn11132
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Rhyan Mansell (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rhyan Mansell is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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