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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rhyan Mansell is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +9.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:26PM UTC
AFL

Rhyan Mansell

Richmond

+9.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+9.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+9.2%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals82.7%73.5%1.21+9.2%

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AI Analysis

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Rhyan Mansell (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Rhyan Mansell is looking primed for action. In his last five away games, he's been a consistent threat, averaging 1.4 goals per game. With an impressive shot accuracy of 55.0% and an average of 3.2 shots at goal in those games, Mansell has been making his presence felt in the forward line. Facing the Western Bulldogs, who he hasn't scored against in their previous encounters, Mansell will be hungry to break that streak. His strong average of 4.6 score involvements and 2 marks inside 50 highlight his ability to impact the scoreboard. With Mansell's recent form and the likelihood of him getting opportunities in the attacking half, taking the Over 0.5 goals bet on him seems like a smart play for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.2avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
1112301021

Rhyan Mansell has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Rhyan Mansell (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rhyan Mansell is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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