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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oscar McDonald is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 82%, implied 63%, edge +19.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 7:30AM UTC
AFL

Oscar McDonald

Fremantle

+19.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+19.1% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Mar 2022). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
13.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.4% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +19.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.4%—63.3%1.21+19.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Oscar McDonald Over 9.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Oscar McDonald needs to get more than 9.5 disposals for this bet to win tonight. The numbers show he's been involved in a lot of plays lately, with a strong score involvement of 5, which is well above average. That suggests he's likely to be in the action, getting his hands on the ball. The risk here is that Fremantle Dockers have a solid defense, which could limit McDonald's opportunities. However, given how he has performed recently, it seems likely he can hit that mark. With the way he's been playing, this bet feels promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Oscar McDonald has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.560%
o13.530%
o14.520%
o15.520%
o16.520%
o17.520%
o18.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Oscar McDonald is averaging 13.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.2
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (17 Mar 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oscar McDonald recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
17 Mar 24Brisbane Lions10031
24 Mar 22Western Bulldogs9040
17 Mar 22Richmond15060
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Oscar McDonald (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oscar McDonald is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.1% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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