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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ollie Lord is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 55%, edge +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:38PM UTC
AFL

Ollie Lord

Port Adelaide

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+15.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +15.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals70.3%—54.6%1.42+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ollie Lord (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ollie Lord is a solid bet to score anytime in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power game based on his recent performance metrics. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games, Lord has shown consistent scoring ability. His high goal accuracy of 60.0% and involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 2.8 score involvements in away games, further support his likelihood to snag a goal. Additionally, facing an opponent against whom he averages 0 goals in the last five matchups, Lord could be poised to break that trend. Considering his recent form and scoring potential, betting on Lord to score anytime presents a favorable opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ollie Lord averaged 5.5 disposals, 1.0 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 6 games in 2024.

5.5
Disposals
1.0
Goals
2.3
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Jul 24 vs Richmond), Ollie Lord recorded 2 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Jul 24Richmond2114
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS6120
6 Jul 24Western Bulldogs8141
30 Jun 24St Kilda6140
22 Jun 24Brisbane Lions7221
16 Jun 24GWS GIANTS4013
16 Sep 23GWS GIANTS5123
9 Sep 23Brisbane Lions7424
27 Aug 23Richmond5220
20 Aug 23Fremantle7100
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ollie Lord (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ollie Lord is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 26 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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