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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ollie Lord is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +15.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
AFL

Ollie Lord

Port Adelaide

+15.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -120 (1.83)
+15.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 26 Jul, 10:10AM
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Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals70.3%54.6%1.42+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ollie Lord (Port Adelaide) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ollie Lord is a solid bet to score anytime in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Port Adelaide Power game based on his recent performance metrics. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games, Lord has shown consistent scoring ability. His high goal accuracy of 60.0% and involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 2.8 score involvements in away games, further support his likelihood to snag a goal. Additionally, facing an opponent against whom he averages 0 goals in the last five matchups, Lord could be poised to break that trend. Considering his recent form and scoring potential, betting on Lord to score anytime presents a favorable opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.4avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.4 · hi 4 · lo 0
1241021111

Ollie Lord has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ollie Lord (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ollie Lord is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 26 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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