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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Wiltshire is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 68%, edge +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 9, 6:53AM UTC
AFL

Oliver Wiltshire

Geelong Cats

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
+2.8% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
11.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.4% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap +2.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%—67.6%1.42+2.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Oliver Wiltshire Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Oliver Wiltshire is set to shine against the Geelong Cats. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance to get over 9.5 disposals in this game. His recent performances show a strong ability to rack up clearances and ground balls, which are key to getting those disposals. In fact, he's been averaging significantly more clearances and ground ball gets than usual lately. The biggest risk here is that the match could be tightly contested, which might limit his opportunities. Still, with how well he's been playing, this bet seems promising. Keep an eye on the game and enjoy the action!

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Pick History & Track Record

Oliver Wiltshire's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 9.5

Oliver Wiltshire's disposals line is 9.5.

Goals 0.5

Oliver Wiltshire's goals line is 0.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Oliver Wiltshire has cleared 9.5 disposals in 56% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.556%
o10.544%
o11.550%
o12.522%
o13.530%
o14.530%
o16.510%
o17.510%
o18.50%
o19.510%
o20.510%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Oliver Wiltshire is averaging 13.0 disposals per game over his last 5, including his recent form against Fremantle.

13.0
Disp · Overall
10.0
Disp · vs Fremantle
0.8
Goals · Overall
2.0
Goals · vs Fremantle
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Aug 26 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Wiltshire (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Wiltshire is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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