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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Wiltshire is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:20PM UTC
AFL

Oliver Wiltshire

Geelong Cats

Value call

Oliver Wiltshire (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 9.5 that pays $148 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
Value call
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
11.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.7% · before adjusting for past results 70.3% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap -7.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%59.7%67.6%1.68+2.7%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Oliver Wiltshire Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers are on a great run, winning seven of their last ten games, and they are dominating with an average victory margin of nearly 29 points in their recent matches. This momentum could help Oliver Wiltshire find plenty of opportunities to get the ball, especially since Fremantle's game plan often leads to high disposal counts. On the other hand, Geelong Cats are no slouches either, coming in with solid performances and strong first-half scores. However, their average lead at quarter-time is just over 4 points, which means this game could be close and competitive. It's worth noting that even with a good chance of going over 9.5 disposals, the risk is that both teams can limit each other's chances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Oliver Wiltshire - AFL Disposals market.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Oliver Wiltshire - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -137 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Geelong Cats @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -154 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Oliver Wiltshire (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Wiltshire is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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