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AFL

Oliver Henry

Geelong Cats

Value call

Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $135 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
1.5 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.1% · before adjusting for past results 75.6% · the book's price implies 74.1% · gap -10.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Oliver Henry
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -286 (1.35) · $100→$135
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.50 Odds-286
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:11PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals75.6%63.1%74.1%1.58+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Oliver Henry Over 0.5 Goals (-286)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers are on a roll, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and averaging nearly 29 points more than their opponents over the past 12 matches. They have a strong attack, scoring an impressive average of 44.6 points before half-time recently. This creates a great chance for Oliver Henry to get on the scoreboard. Geelong Cats have also been doing well, averaging 55.7 points before the break. However, Fremantle's strong performance at home makes this a good spot for Henry to find the net. Still, we think he can get at least one goal.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Oliver Henry averaged 8.9 disposals, 1.6 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

8.9
Disposals
1.6
Goals
3.0
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oliver Henry recorded 15 disposals and 4 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions15430
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide12144
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles13481
17 Aug 24St Kilda9122
10 Aug 24Fremantle8133
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows7121
27 Jul 24North Melbourne18251
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs5113
12 Jul 24Collingwood5110
6 Jul 24Hawthorn3010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals — — — Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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