What is the latest Oliver Henry prop pick?

The model's latest pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on the Goals market at odds of -714.

When does Oliver Henry next play?

Oliver Henry next plays in Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies on Thursday 30 July 2026.

Answer

The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals.

On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.

Model updated Aug 5, 12:13PM UTC

AFL

Oliver Henry

Geelong Cats

+3.2% Edge

Latest Model Pick

Goals Over 0.5 -714 (1.14)

+3.2% Edge

Geelong Cats @

Collingwood Magpies

MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor

Thu 30 Jul, 9:30AM

Availability not tracked for this sport

Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.

Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.

Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Model Probability

90.9%

Implied Probability

87.7%

Model Edge

+3.2%

Predicted Value

1.6 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

Market	Model	Model probability	Implied	Fair Odds	Edge
Goals	90.9%	—	87.7%	1.10	+3.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

Window	Hit Rate
Last 3 games	1/3
Last 5 games	3/5
Last 10 games	6/10

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to snagging goals, Oliver Henry from the Geelong Cats is in red-hot form. Over his last 5 away games, he's been a goal-scoring machine, averaging an impressive 2 goals per game against tough opponents. With a stellar goal accuracy of 70% and a consistent hit rate in his recent games, Henry is not one to shy away from splitting the middle. Facing off against Collingwood, a team he's historically performed well against, averaging 2.3 goals in his last 5 matchups, the stage is set for him to continue his scoring spree. With a low line of just 0.5 goals, the smart money is on Henry to bag one and contribute to the Cats' scoreboard. Bet on Henry to light up the MCG and make those goal posts shake.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

70%hit L10 O 1.5

2avg goals L5

Home2vs Essendon1Season best4

O 0.590%

O 1.570%

O 2.520%

O 3.510%

Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 1.6 · hi 4 · lo 0

0112111414

Oliver Henry has gone over 1.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2 goals, best 4).

Date	Matchup	Market	Line	Pick	Odds (US)	Result
30 Jul 26	Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies	Goals	0.5	Over	-714	✗ MISS
24 Jul 26	Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons	Goals	0.5	Over	-714	✓ HIT
16 Jul 26	St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats	Goals	0.5	Over	-833	✗ MISS
11 Jul 26	Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants	Goals	—	—	—	Pending
02 Jul 26	Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats	Goals	—	—	—	Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies on Thursday 30 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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