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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 88%, edge +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 7:46PM UTC
AFL

Oliver Henry

Geelong Cats

+3.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+3.2% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.9% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +3.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.9%87.7%1.10+3.2%

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AI Analysis

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Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to snagging goals, Oliver Henry from the Geelong Cats is in red-hot form. Over his last 5 away games, he's been a goal-scoring machine, averaging an impressive 2 goals per game against tough opponents. With a stellar goal accuracy of 70% and a consistent hit rate in his recent games, Henry is not one to shy away from splitting the middle. Facing off against Collingwood, a team he's historically performed well against, averaging 2.3 goals in his last 5 matchups, the stage is set for him to continue his scoring spree. With a low line of just 0.5 goals, the smart money is on Henry to bag one and contribute to the Cats' scoreboard. Bet on Henry to light up the MCG and make those goal posts shake.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Oliver Henry averaged 8.9 disposals, 1.6 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

8.9
Disposals
1.6
Goals
3.0
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oliver Henry recorded 15 disposals and 4 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions15430
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide12144
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles13481
17 Aug 24St Kilda9122
10 Aug 24Fremantle8133
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows7121
27 Jul 24North Melbourne18251
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs5113
12 Jul 24Collingwood5110
6 Jul 24Hawthorn3010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Henry (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Henry is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies on Thursday 30 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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