Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-147)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Oliver Dempsey is poised to shine in disposals against Brisbane. With a model-predicted average of 17.1, a solid 10.2% edge, and recent form averaging 18 disposals in home games, he's likely to surpass the 14.5 line comfortably. His consistency in contested possessions (5.8) and effective disposals (68.6%) also bode well for his performance. Facing Brisbane, where he averages 16.7 disposals in home games against them, further strengthens this bet. Despite a recent hit rate of 3/4 on overall disposals, Dempsey's home game hit rate of 14/20 highlights his reliability in surpassing this line. With the home advantage at the MCG, backing Dempsey to go over 14.5 disposals seems like a smart wager.