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AFL

Oliver Dempsey

Geelong Cats

+5.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -270 (1.37)
+5.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
78.5%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+5.5%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Geelong Cats and Western Bulldogs, the spotlight falls on home turf hero Oliver Dempsey. With a recent average of 1.2 goals in his last five home games, Dempsey has been a pivotal force in front of the big sticks. His precision, boasting a goal accuracy of 29.3% and a knack for creating scoring opportunities with 2.8 shots at goal per game, sets the stage for goal-scoring action. Dempsey's consistency is evident with a streak of hitting the back of the net in recent matchups, making him a reliable choice to snag at least one goal against the Bulldogs. With an overall hit rate of 75% in his last 12 games, Dempsey's form is red-hot, making the Over 0.5 goals player prop for him a compelling bet. Expect Dempsey to shine and split the middle as he leads the charge for the Cats in this highly anticipated showdown at GMHBA Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Oliver Dempsey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.