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AFL

Oliver Dempsey

Geelong Cats

Value call

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
1.0 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.8% · before adjusting for past results 71.6% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap -1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Oliver Dempsey
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oliver Dempsey is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:11PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals71.6%59.8%61.3%1.67+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats: Oliver Dempsey Over 0.5 Goals (-159)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers are on a great run, winning 7 out of their last 10 games and scoring an average of 44.6 points before half-time. This shows they can get off to a strong start. Oliver Dempsey has been a solid player at GMHBA Stadium, averaging 21.1 disposals across 10 games, which suggests he gets plenty of chances to make an impact. Betting on Dempsey to score at least one goal feels like a good chance. The risk here is that the Geelong Cats have also been strong, winning by an average of 17.3 points in their last 12 games. Still, with Fremantle's current form, Dempsey could find the net and help them keep the momentum going.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Oliver Dempsey averaged 17.4 disposals, 0.9 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

17.4
Disposals
0.9
Goals
4.4
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Oliver Dempsey recorded 15 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions15142
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide15062
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles21192
17 Aug 24St Kilda20120
10 Aug 24Fremantle20152
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows18021
27 Jul 24North Melbourne18325
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs5103
12 Jul 24Collingwood171104
6 Jul 24Hawthorn23032
Quick answers:How many disposals does Oliver Dempsey average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 17.5 Over -185 ✗ MISS
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Marks — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oliver Dempsey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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