Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Under 20.5 Disposals (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Oliver Dempsey's away form has been solid, averaging 17.2 disposals over his last five games on the road. However, facing Collingwood, who have limited him to an average of 15.5 disposals in their previous encounters, suggests a tough matchup. With a disposals line set at 20.5, Dempsey's recent trend of 19.6 disposals overall, along with a slight dip in contested possessions and disposal efficiency, indicates a potential struggle to hit that mark. His turnover rate of 3.2 per game could prove costly against a disciplined Magpies side. Despite his impressive 80.6% disposal efficiency away, the pressure from Collingwood may force riskier plays. Considering his current hit streak of just one game and a model predicting 17.6 disposals, betting under 20.5 disposals for Oliver Dempsey could be a prudent move in this clash at the MCG.