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AFL

Oliver Dempsey

Geelong Cats

+3.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -294 (1.34)
+3.9% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
78.5%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk about why Oliver Dempsey is one to watch in the Goals Over market for the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Adelaide Crows clash at GMHBA Stadium. Dempsey is on fire at home, averaging 1.6 goals over his last five games. With an impressive 44.3% goal accuracy and a solid 2.8 shots at goal per game, he's a real scoring threat. What's more, he's been involved in the Cats' attacking plays, averaging 6.6 score involvements at home. Facing the Crows, who he's previously bagged goals against, Dempsey is primed to split the middle and snag at least one goal. The stats don't lie, and with Dempsey's form and history on his side, betting on him to go Over 0.5 goals is a smart play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -294 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Oliver Dempsey (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Oliver Dempsey is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.