Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nic Newman is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 71%, edge +0.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 4:32AM UTC
AFL

Nic Newman

Carlton

+0.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+0.8% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 3:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
22.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.2% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +0.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%—71.4%1.38+0.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nic Newman (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nic Newman, the seasoned pillar of Carlton's defense, is set to shine in front of the home crowd at Marvel Stadium. With an average of 24.6 disposals in his last five home games and a stellar 78.6% disposal efficiency, Newman has been a consistent ball magnet. Facing off against Gold Coast, a team he's historically dominated with an average of 24.2 disposals in their recent encounters, Newman's poised to control the midfield once again. His recent form is impeccable, boasting a current hit streak of 7 at home and 13 overall, showcasing his reliability in meeting and exceeding the 19.5 disposals line. Backed by his impressive stats and undeniable consistency, Newman is primed to snag this bet and lead the Blues to victory.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Nic Newman averaged 23.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 8.1 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

23.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
8.1
Marks
3.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Nic Newman recorded 24 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions24054
25 Aug 24St Kilda350162
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles250114
11 Aug 24Hawthorn27094
3 Aug 24Collingwood340125
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide20068
21 Jul 24North Melbourne19061
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs210105
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS18065
30 Jun 24Richmond280145
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 19.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 18.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 21.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nic Newman (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nic Newman is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.