SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -16.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -16.5 @ -111) WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season WIN: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days WIN: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -16.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians (Cleveland Guardians @ +102) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1109.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +415.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -16.5 @ -111) RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +1086.7 units this season RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 1.5 @ +640) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners (Los Angeles Angels 2 @ +525) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +516.6 units this season RESULT: WON: Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats (Brisbane Lions @ +183) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 80.0% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans (Sydney Swans -19.5 @ -110)
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AFL

Nic Newman

Carlton

+9.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -204 (1.49)
+9.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
76.3%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+9.2%
Predicted Value
25.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Nic Newman (Carlton) Over 21.5 Disposals (-204)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nic Newman, the poised playmaker for Carlton, is primed to shine in their clash against Collingwood at the MCG. Newman's recent form at home showcases his consistency, averaging a solid 24 disposals per game, exceeding the 21.5 line. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his 87.4% disposal efficiency and impressive 556.2 metres gained over the last five home games. Facing Collingwood, Newman has historically elevated his game, with an average of 25.5 disposals in their past encounters. With a model prediction of 25.1 disposals and a 9.2% edge, backing Newman to surpass the 21.5 mark is a smart play for punters looking to capitalize on his reliability and impact in the midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 72.7% (8/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 21.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 20.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 19.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Nic Newman (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 72.7% (8/11). The latest model pick for Nic Newman is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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