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AFL

Nic Newman

Carlton

+6.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -400 (1.25)
+6.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
86.8%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+6.8%
Predicted Value
25.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Nic Newman (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nic Newman, the maestro of the backline, is set to shine at the MCG for the Blues against the Magpies. Over his last five home games, Newman has been a possession magnet, averaging a whopping 24 disposals per match. His precision is impeccable, boasting an 81.5% disposal efficiency. Against Collingwood, he's elevated his game even further, averaging 25.5 disposals in their recent encounters. With an innate ability to read the play and intercept, Newman isn't just a reliable ball carrier but a strategic asset in breaking down opposition attacks. Expect him to orchestrate Carlton's defensive maneuvers and surge past the 19.5 disposal line with ease, making the 'Over' on Newman a tantalizing bet for footy enthusiasts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 72.7% (8/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 19.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 17.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals 18.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nic Newman (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 72.7% (8/11). The latest model pick for Nic Newman is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.