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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nic Martin is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Nic Martin

Essendon

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -833 (1.12)
+2.2% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 19 Jun, 10:10AM
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Model Probability
91.5%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
26.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.5%—89.3%1.09+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Nic Martin (Essendon) Over 19.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nic Martin is poised to surpass 19.5 disposals against Fremantle based on his recent stellar form. With an average of 25.8 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent hit streak, he is likely to maintain his momentum. Facing Fremantle, where he averages 26 disposals, further boosts his chances. Martin's proficiency in contested possessions (7.6) and disposals efficiency (74.3%) also support his ability to meet the line. Despite a slight model edge, his solid performance history and current streaks indicate a strong likelihood of exceeding the 19.5 disposals mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
26.3avg disposals recent
Season best36
Disposals last 10avg 26.3 · hi 36 · lo 21
21272326222325363228

Nic Martin has a disposals high of 36 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nic Martin (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nic Martin is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 19 June at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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